Keaton Winn
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 238LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 5, #136, San Francisco Giants | Iowa Western CC
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 3 4.68 9 5 1 42.1 35 1.04
2024 3 6 6.17 9 9 0 42.1 33 1.30
2 Seasons 4 9 5.42 18 14 1 84.2 68 1.17
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 9 1-3 4.68 42.1 35 1.04
2024 9 3-6 6.17 42.1 33 1.30
2 Seasons 18 4-9 5.42 84.2 68 1.17
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 25 594 123 13 10.6 7.6 92.4 111.0 4.5 26.8 .243 .425 .304 .319 .369 48.0 20.3 4.7 4.68 4.30
2024 26 674 125 12 9.6 6.8 92.9 113.4 7.3 32.8 .285 .496 .339 .366 .415 50.4 18.6 8.5 6.17 5.45
Player 1268 248 25 10.1 7.2 92.7 113.4 5.9 29.8 .264 .460 .321 .343 .392 49.2 19.5 6.6
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winn relies on 4 pitches.
Split Finger
(41.7%) ,
Four Seamer
(24.5%) ,
Sinker
(19.7%) ,
Slider
(14.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 59.3 21.1 16.3 3.3 38.2 42.3 19.5 4.1 43.9 16.3 18.7 6.5 10.6 7.6
2024 55.2 21.6 20.8 2.4 45.6 36.0 18.4 3.2 38.4 14.4 24.8 8.8 9.6 6.8
Player 57.3 21.4 18.5 2.8 41.9 39.1 19.0 3.6 41.1 15.3 21.8 7.7 10.1 7.2
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball SF R 165 95.7 14.8 -1.3 -10 10.1 2.7 37
2024 Slider SF R 95 87.8 34.7 1.4 4 1.2 -3.0 -71
2024 Sinker SF R 133 94.8 23.1 2.5 12 16.0 1.3 9
2024 Split-Finger SF R 280 88.9 33.9 1.6 5 14.3 2.2 19
2023 4-Seam Fastball SF R 153 95.9 15.3 -1.6 -12 10.5 3.1 42
2023 Slider SF R 21 85.9 38.0 2.4 7 0.9 -3.8 -80
2023 Split-Finger SF R 329 88.7 35.8 4.3 14 13.0 1.3 11
2023 Sinker SF R 91 95.5 21.7 1.3 6 14.9 0.0 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Split-Finger -1.1 -3 281 41.7 81 .239 .408 .331 21.7 18.5 14.9 .289 .503 .373 50.9
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -2 165 24.5 35 .133 .300 .234 29.4 31.4 19.3 .145 .278 .232 35.0
2024 Sinker -3.6 -5 133 19.7 36 .400 .667 .484 8.2 8.3 14.3 .382 .594 .465 59.3
2024 Slider 0.0 0 95 14.1 25 .280 .440 .310 32.7 16.0 16.0 .328 .623 .403 52.4
2023 Split-Finger 0.3 1 329 55.4 102 .221 .347 .271 34.4 22.5 22.3 .221 .355 .271 42.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -1 153 25.8 29 .240 .680 .421 29.9 27.6 17.8 .257 .608 .404 52.9
2023 Sinker -0.1 0 91 15.3 41 .250 .417 .318 20.0 9.8 44.4 .292 .481 .384 57.6
2023 Slider 2.3 0 21 3.5 -- -- -- 20.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 4-Seam Fastball 165 95.7 92 17.9 1:30 1:15 15
2024 Split-Finger 237 88.9 87 15.4 2:00 3:00 -60
2024 Sinker 133 94.8 83 17.9 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 94 87.8 12 2.7 10:15 8:15 120
2023 4-Seam Fastball 135 96.0 94 17.9 1:30 1:15 15
2023 Split-Finger 234 88.7 85 14.0 2:15 3:15 -60
2023 Sinker 83 95.5 90 17.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Slider 18 86.1 22 4.1 9:15 6:30 165
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 172 594 -2 7 -2 -2 1
2024 177 674 -3 0 -4 -4 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 594 51.9 71.8 75.1 32.2 55.4 46.3 64.0 52.7 30.7 7.6 84.4
2024 674 50.6 68.0 84.9 33.6 62.5 42.4 66.1 51.0 22.4 8.2 74.5
Player 1,268 51.2 69.8 80.1 33.0 59.3 44.2 65.0 51.8 26.3 7.9 79.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2023 80 59 23
2024 12 12 11 11 19 10 23 1 2 26 46 31 88 74 60 20
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.5 6 6.4 0 0 6 2 33.3
2024 24.8 5 5.0 0 2 4 2 40.0
Player 24.6 11 11.4 0 2 10 4 36.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2023 6 5 4 7 8 7 8 4 7 6 8 7 5 6 8 8 8 6 5 8 6 4 8 8 5 5 6 7 6 6 6
2024 5 5 2 6 6 5 6 6 5 3 5 6 3 4 6 6 6 5 5 7 4 3 7 6 5 4 5 4 6 5 4
Player 11 10 6 13 14 12 14 10 12 9 13 13 8 10 14 14 14 11 10 15 10 7 15 14 10 9 11 11 12 11 10
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.8 95.3 -0.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 88.7 88.9 0.2 ↑
Breaking Velocity 85.9 87.8 1.9 ↑
Exit Velocity 92.4 92.9 0.5 ↑
Launch Angle 4.5 7.3 2.8 ↑
Barrel % 10.6 9.6 -1.0 ↓
Hard Hit % 48.0 50.4 2.4 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 26.8 32.8 6.0 ↑
xBA .243 .285 0.042 ↑
BA .231 .256 0.025 ↑
xwOBA .319 .366 0.047 ↑
wOBA .304 .339 0.035 ↑
xSLG .425 .496 0.071 ↑
SLG .417 .442 0.025 ↑
K% 20.3 18.6 -1.7 ↓
BB% 4.7 8.5 3.8 ↑
Swing % 52.7 51.0 -1.7 ↓
Whiff% 30.7 22.4 -8.3 ↓
In Zone % 51.9 50.6 -1.3 ↓
Out of Zone % 48.1 49.4 1.3 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 32.2 33.6 1.4 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 36.6 33.9 -2.7 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 64.0 66.1 2.1 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 172 .304 102 0 0.0 70 44 62.9
2024 Shades 177 .339 98 1 1.0 79 10 12.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 177 14.1 72.3% 0.0% 62 18.7 1.6% 0.0%
2024 175 14.7 54.9% 0.0% 72 18.0 2.8% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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