Robbie Ray
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 225LBS | Age: 32
Draft: 2010 | Rd: 12, #356, Washington Nationals | Brentwood HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 12 12 3.71 32 32 0 189 212 1.19
2023 0 1 8.10 1 1 0 3.1 3 2.70
2024 3 2 4.70 7 7 0 30.2 43 1.14
11 Seasons 77 73 3.98 233 229 0 1,258.2 1,548 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 32 12-12 3.71 189 212 1.19
2023 1 0-1 8.10 3.1 3 2.70
2024 7 3-2 4.70 30.2 43 1.14
11 Seasons 233 77-73 3.98 1,258.2 1,548 1.30
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 23 2257 369 20 5.4 3.7 89.7 114.0 12.3 31.4 .243 .370 .318 .308 .353 35.8 21.8 9.0 3.52 3.93
2016 24 3176 481 33 6.9 4.3 89.9 116.3 12.3 32.2 .246 .407 .332 .317 .408 39.3 28.1 9.1 4.90 4.25
2017 25 2715 371 23 6.2 3.5 89.9 112.7 14.4 31.5 .215 .370 .282 .297 .395 41.0 32.8 10.7 2.89 3.76
2018 26 2287 286 25 8.7 4.8 90.1 116.0 14.6 36.4 .217 .362 .312 .309 .392 41.6 31.4 13.3 3.93 4.04
2019 27 3064 422 45 10.7 6.0 88.9 114.3 14.8 38.9 .228 .428 .322 .322 .432 38.6 31.5 11.2 4.34 4.60
2020 28 1064 137 18 13.1 7.2 91.6 112.8 22.9 38.0 .254 .487 .390 .379 .462 46.0 27.1 17.9 6.62 6.44
2021 29 3141 469 46 9.8 6.0 90.4 115.3 17.6 34.3 .219 .398 .287 .293 .401 43.1 32.1 6.7 2.84 3.60
2022 30 3047 494 39 7.9 5.0 89.7 111.7 14.7 34.0 .223 .373 .315 .295 .366 39.1 27.4 8.0 3.71 3.59
2023 31 91 11 0 0.0 0.0 87.5 111.5 14.3 18.2 .192 .270 .388 .341 .273 45.5 15.8 26.3 8.10 5.00
2024 32 568 64 6 9.4 4.7 86.8 107.3 19.2 34.4 .186 .358 .316 .304 .379 35.9 33.3 11.6 4.70 3.79
Player 21410 3104 255 8.2 4.9 89.8 116.3 14.9 34.2 .227 .393 .314 .309 .395 40.0 29.4 10.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ray relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(53.0%) ,
Slider
(32.0%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(15.0%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 45.3 20.1 29.5 5.1 32.8 34.7 32.5 2.4 31.4 26.6 27.1 3.3 5.4 3.7
2016 46.8 18.9 28.3 6.0 33.5 37.6 28.9 2.3 33.5 20.2 27.0 6.4 6.9 4.3
2017 41.8 25.3 23.7 9.2 36.1 36.7 27.2 3.5 29.6 25.1 27.0 7.3 6.2 3.5
2018 40.9 27.3 24.8 7.0 37.8 36.7 25.5 2.1 30.1 25.9 26.2 5.6 8.7 4.8
2019 40.8 24.4 27.7 7.1 40.0 37.4 22.5 4.0 26.5 23.9 25.6 5.9 10.7 6.0
2020 25.5 32.8 30.7 10.9 41.6 35.0 23.4 2.9 15.3 33.6 24.1 10.9 13.1 7.2
2021 37.3 29.4 23.7 9.6 38.4 36.5 25.2 2.6 26.9 30.9 23.5 6.0 9.8 6.0
2022 38.9 28.9 24.1 8.1 40.7 35.0 24.3 3.6 30.4 27.1 23.1 7.5 7.9 5.0
2023 63.6 18.2 9.1 9.1 36.4 18.2 45.5 18.2 27.3 18.2 27.3 9.1 0.0 0.0
2024 28.1 35.9 23.4 12.5 37.5 29.7 32.8 4.7 23.4 34.4 17.2 10.9 9.4 4.7
Player 40.7 25.5 26.1 7.8 37.3 36.1 26.5 3.1 29.0 26.2 25.3 6.4 8.2 4.9
MLB 44.5 23.7 24.7 7.0 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball SF L 301 94.1 13.0 1.5 10 8.8 1.9 27
2024 Slider SF L 182 88.4 27.2 -5.5 -17 2.3 -6.0 -160
2024 Curveball SF L 85 83.5 40.0 -8.0 -17 0.7 -6.7 -90
2023 4-Seam Fastball SEA L 51 92.9 12.6 2.8 18 8.5 2.0 30
2023 Slider SEA L 40 84.9 33.6 -3.1 -9 1.4 -6.5 -127
2022 Curveball SEA L 58 79.7 43.7 -10.1 -19 2.5 -5.5 -68
2022 Sinker SEA L 637 93.3 18.7 -2.6 -12 15.4 0.8 5
2022 Slider SEA L 1,133 87.2 28.3 -5.2 -16 1.5 -2.8 -65
2022 Changeup SEA L 21 86.9 23.1 -6.1 -21 10.5 -3.4 -25
2022 4-Seam Fastball SEA L 1,191 93.4 13.4 1.3 9 6.7 0.1 1
2021 Changeup TOR L 113 88.2 21.8 -6.5 -23 10.2 -3.8 -27
2021 Curveball TOR L 191 82.5 40.2 -10.0 -20 1.3 -5.9 -83
2021 Slider TOR L 968 88.6 27.6 -4.2 -13 1.0 -2.6 -73
2021 4-Seam Fastball TOR L 1,861 94.8 13.5 0.7 5 8.2 1.0 14
2021 Sinker TOR L 8 95.1 15.8 -4.0 -20 13.0 -1.7 -12
2020 4-Seam Fastball TOR L 504 93.9 14.2 0.6 4 9.6 2.5 36
2020 Sinker TOR L 38 93.3 17.5 -3.6 -17 14.5 -0.1 -1
2020 Curveball TOR L 179 83.6 41.0 -6.7 -14 0.6 -5.9 -90
2020 Changeup TOR L 29 89.5 18.2 -9.2 -33 8.3 -5.4 -39
2020 Slider TOR L 312 86.6 29.3 -4.9 -14 0.1 -3.9 -98
2019 Slider AZ L 941 84.2 34.7 -2.5 -7 1.9 -2.6 -58
2019 Sinker AZ L 306 92.2 18.4 -3.8 -17 13.8 -0.6 -4
2019 4-Seam Fastball AZ L 1,307 92.4 14.0 1.9 12 7.1 0.4 7
2019 Curveball AZ L 504 81.6 46.5 -5.3 -10 1.2 -5.7 -82
2018 Curveball AZ L 468 82.6 45.9 -4.4 -9 1.5 -5.9 -79
2018 Slider AZ L 582 84.5 34.2 -2.6 -7 0.9 -3.6 -80
2018 Sinker AZ L 1 93.8 18.9 -2.3 -11 16.0 1.3 9
2018 4-Seam Fastball AZ L 1,231 93.6 14.3 1.2 8 9.0 1.9 26
2017 4-Seam Fastball AZ L 1,531 94.2 13.6 0.2 1 8.6 0.6 7
2017 Slider AZ L 575 84.6 33.8 -1.4 -4 0.3 -4.3 -107
2017 Sinker AZ L 72 93.4 20.2 -0.3 -1 15.9 1.0 7
2017 Curveball AZ L 530 81.7 47.3 -2.6 -5 2.7 -4.4 -61
2016 Changeup AZ L 185 87.2 26.4 -2.9 -10 13.7 1.3 10
2016 4-Seam Fastball AZ L 1,425 94.9 13.0 1.9 13 11.2 4.0 56
2016 Sinker AZ L 760 94.4 18.0 -2.6 -12 17.2 3.3 24
2016 Slider AZ L 691 84.8 36.1 -0.1 0 1.6 -6.7 -130
2015 Curveball AZ L 1 52.2 78.7 -8.4 -10 8.1 4.1 -34
2015 Slider AZ L 446 83.1 37.8 -1.2 -3 1.5 -7.0 -128
2015 4-Seam Fastball AZ L 1,007 94.1 15.1 0.3 2 12.8 5.8 83
2015 Changeup AZ L 177 84.6 25.4 -5.0 -17 11.6 -0.9 -7
2015 Sinker AZ L 574 93.5 19.2 -2.4 -11 17.1 3.1 23
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 301 53.0 75 .167 .367 .309 26.4 29.3 20.4 .181 .368 .315 35.9
2024 Slider 0.4 1 182 32.0 35 .148 .222 .283 45.8 37.1 20.0 .136 .213 .275 35.7
2024 Curveball -2.7 -2 85 15.0 19 .316 .684 .418 48.9 42.1 25.8 .270 .531 .335 36.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.5 -1 51 56.0 8 .500 .500 .575 23.8 12.5 6.7 .240 .270 .463 33.3
2023 Slider -1.0 0 40 44.0 11 .222 .333 .259 17.4 18.2 12.5 .170 .270 .255 50.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 9 1,197 39.3 327 .224 .397 .312 25.8 26.6 24.2 .209 .363 .290 37.0
2022 Slider 0.5 6 1,134 37.2 274 .184 .349 .247 39.4 37.2 23.2 .207 .330 .252 41.9
2022 Sinker -0.6 -4 637 20.9 158 .299 .530 .406 22.8 14.6 16.3 .274 .451 .372 38.7
2022 Curveball -6.4 -4 58 1.9 10 .700 1.700 .995 9.5 0.0 0.0 .312 .695 .425 50.0
2022 Changeup -7.3 -2 21 0.7 6 .400 .400 .417 0.0 0.0 0.0 .294 .399 .362 20.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 21 1,861 59.2 471 .222 .431 .318 24.0 24.6 21.1 .243 .457 .327 43.2
2021 Slider 1.2 12 968 30.8 254 .173 .321 .247 45.5 48.0 27.9 .162 .282 .222 41.9
2021 Curveball -0.8 -2 191 6.1 27 .346 .577 .360 52.5 25.9 28.0 .288 .425 .322 47.4
2021 Changeup -2.7 -3 113 3.6 19 .235 .529 .453 27.8 10.5 11.8 .295 .506 .381 40.0
2021 Sinker 5.7 0 8 0.3 2 .000 .000 .000 25.0 50.0 33.3 .114 .123 .116 100.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball -2.8 -14 504 47.4 141 .292 .689 .479 19.4 17.7 17.5 .283 .595 .448 50.6
2020 Slider 1.2 4 313 29.4 73 .164 .224 .206 47.0 45.2 29.7 .175 .272 .216 36.1
2020 Curveball -1.0 -2 180 16.9 22 .474 .684 .530 46.5 27.3 18.8 .353 .579 .437 53.8
2020 Sinker 3.4 1 38 3.6 12 .111 .111 .250 8.3 25.0 33.3 .234 .292 .349 16.7
2020 Changeup -3.1 -1 29 2.7 2 .500 2.000 1.000 14.3 50.0 20.0 .500 2.000 1.000 100.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 17 1,307 42.7 303 .221 .391 .318 22.0 30.4 24.8 .220 .396 .321 36.3
2019 Slider -0.6 -6 941 30.7 257 .221 .424 .323 44.3 37.0 24.7 .206 .412 .297 36.2
2019 Curveball -0.3 -2 504 16.4 102 .216 .477 .356 44.6 33.3 27.6 .258 .576 .383 54.5
2019 Sinker -2.2 -7 306 10.0 79 .348 .638 .447 18.2 17.7 21.9 .289 .413 .340 36.8
2018 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 -2 1,231 53.8 293 .252 .430 .370 19.7 22.5 17.8 .262 .439 .369 45.8
2018 Slider 0.6 4 582 25.4 139 .178 .326 .250 44.7 43.2 25.8 .182 .294 .240 39.1
2018 Curveball 0.6 3 468 20.5 90 .169 .312 .268 46.1 43.3 26.5 .135 .237 .231 28.2
2018 Sinker -2.4 0 1 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 22 1,531 56.4 383 .188 .361 .294 25.3 31.6 27.0 .190 .355 .291 40.6
2017 Slider 1.3 8 575 21.2 139 .172 .313 .235 49.5 42.4 25.2 .213 .344 .266 39.4
2017 Curveball 0.6 3 530 19.5 116 .202 .288 .279 45.3 31.9 28.9 .260 .363 .305 37.7
2017 Sinker -9.0 -6 72 2.7 24 .550 .900 .635 9.1 4.2 10.0 .417 .820 .548 63.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Curveball 85 83.5 19 3.3 5:00 5:30 -30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 301 94.1 97 19.7 11:00 11:00 0
2024 Slider 182 88.4 56 7.4 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 50 92.9 94 20.6 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Slider 40 84.9 33 3.6 11:15 11:00 15
2022 Changeup 21 86.9 95 16.6 10:45 10:30 15
2022 Curveball 58 79.7 20 4.4 3:30 4:15 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,186 93.4 92 18.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Sinker 629 93.3 95 20.0 10:45 10:15 30
2022 Slider 1,119 87.2 42 7.0 11:15 12:30 -75
2021 Changeup 113 88.2 97 16.6 10:45 10:45 0
2021 Curveball 189 82.5 13 3.0 3:30 4:30 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,857 94.8 93 18.7 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Slider 959 88.6 42 6.5 11:15 12:15 -60
2020 Changeup 29 89.5 87 18.0 11:00 11:00 0
2020 Curveball 162 83.6 21 4.3 5:00 5:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 495 93.9 96 19.2 11:00 11:00 0
2020 Sinker 36 93.4 96 20.2 10:45 10:15 30
2020 Slider 292 86.6 33 6.5 11:15 12:00 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 136 547 -4 -1 -6 -2 -13
2015 542 2,250 0 25 -6 -12 7
2016 772 3,164 8 11 -17 -11 -9
2017 692 2,830 26 25 -12 -13 27
2018 523 2,284 12 17 -10 -14 5
2019 741 3,058 6 28 -19 -13 3
2020 261 1,124 2 4 -10 -7 -11
2021 773 3,141 12 36 -7 -11 29
2022 792 3,113 5 23 -13 -14 1
2024 129 568 6 6 -6 -5 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,257 50.2 65.4 83.9 28.2 66.2 42.7 60.7 46.8 21.0 7.9 76.4
2016 3,176 50.4 64.8 79.7 28.1 56.2 44.8 55.9 46.6 26.6 6.6 76.2
2017 2,715 47.7 63.6 76.5 27.5 40.0 40.8 60.0 44.7 34.2 6.5 68.9
2018 2,287 45.8 61.1 80.6 27.7 42.0 40.9 59.0 43.0 32.0 6.7 71.4
2019 3,064 44.4 64.4 75.7 30.2 50.2 42.5 59.6 45.4 32.6 6.1 75.5
2020 1,064 42.9 62.7 77.6 24.5 45.6 37.8 52.2 40.9 32.9 6.6 67.1
2021 3,141 50.8 73.1 77.0 30.2 43.6 41.2 61.6 52.0 32.3 8.8 84.1
2022 3,047 47.6 74.1 78.3 31.0 51.2 41.0 64.4 51.5 30.0 7.1 82.0
2023 91 40.7 73.0 85.2 31.5 64.7 35.2 57.9 48.4 20.5 7.7 71.4
2024 568 44.9 72.9 76.3 29.4 37.0 40.7 62.0 48.9 36.0 5.5 74.2
Player 21,410 47.8 67.0 78.5 28.9 49.2 41.8 59.9 47.1 30.2 7.0 76.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 47 49 61 65 29 32 38 8 23 60 22 34 36 66 71 56
2016 43 53 46 43 39 16 28 12 12 88 32 76 40 78 63 53
2017 69 83 71 52 65 28 44 2 4 95 17 95 49 68 65 6 55
2018 47 76 69 54 28 28 13 7 5 92 4 89 47 60 63 3 64
2019 40 68 39 21 41 3 6 42 31 88 14 89 63 35 48 4 59
2020 8 34 14 11 3 2 5 4 9 69 2 84 20 59 83 13 55
2021 72 75 48 31 87 3 16 15 17 93 73 87 71 72 62 11 65
2022 61 67 54 40 67 8 38 18 39 78 48 80 67 41 55 6 63
2023 31 60 36
2024 51 69 8 23
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.5 24 24.8 -1 8 16 14 58.3
2017 21.8 23 16.9 6 12 10 10 43.5
2018 22.5 19 14.9 4 4 11 6 31.6
2019 22.7 30 34.1 -4 8 21 18 60.0
2020 22.3 13 13.9 -1 3 8 8 61.5
2021 23.7 33 30.2 3 10 24 13 39.4
2022 22.9 35 31.6 3 11 25 12 34.3
2024 24.0 6 5.4 1 0 6 1 16.7
Player 22.7 183 171.8 11 56 121 82 44.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 24 27 20 29 22 20 26 22 20 18 23 29 26 23 24 27 17 22 28 25 24 21 34 33 25 24 24 34 30 28 20
2017 23 16 14 18 18 17 19 16 14 13 16 23 16 15 18 19 15 12 18 17 17 17 22 17 17 13 16 23 21 18 11
2018 19 21 13 15 15 14 15 14 13 11 14 16 17 13 14 17 17 14 14 15 13 14 17 17 13 12 16 15 18 17 13
2019 30 40 27 36 35 36 36 38 27 26 29 34 39 32 36 33 34 33 33 36 39 33 43 42 33 33 29 37 39 30 24
2020 13 14 15 16 13 15 15 14 13 12 12 15 16 12 14 13 16 14 14 13 14 14 18 13 13 12 13 14 16 14 9
2021 33 33 27 23 31 30 36 30 17 22 26 33 34 28 31 34 29 27 33 35 31 35 40 34 26 25 33 33 33 28 30
2022 35 24 28 30 33 34 36 26 24 26 29 37 29 31 37 38 29 29 31 34 32 32 40 36 24 27 36 40 33 32 31
2024 6 4 5 6 5 5 7 6 4 4 6 5 6 6 6 4 5 5 6 7 7 4 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 5 6
Player 183 179 149 173 172 171 190 166 132 132 155 192 183 160 180 185 162 156 177 182 177 170 221 198 156 151 172 201 196 172 144
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9