Paul Skenes
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 260LBS | Age: 23
Draft: 2023 | Rd: 1, #1, Pittsburgh Pirates | LSU
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 3 1.96 23 23 0 133 170 0.95
2025 4 6 1.85 16 16 0 102 106 0.88
2 Seasons 15 9 1.91 39 39 0 235 276 0.92
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 23 11-3 1.96 133 170 0.95
2025 16 4-6 1.85 102 106 0.88
2 Seasons 39 15-9 1.91 235 276 0.92
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 22 2125 306 16 5.2 3.1 87.8 112.5 8.4 27.8 .192 .297 .247 .248 .330 36.3 33.1 6.2 1.96 2.53
2025 23 1579 255 13 5.1 3.3 88.2 112.3 10.3 28.2 .203 .316 .231 .257 .314 40.0 27.2 6.9 1.85 2.45
Player 3704 561 29 5.2 3.2 88.0 112.5 9.3 28.0 .197 .305 .240 .252 .323 38.0 30.5 6.5
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.8 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skenes relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.6%) ,
Split Finger
(20.0%) ,
Sweeper
(16.0%) ,
Changeup
(8.7%) ,
Sinker
(8.0%) ,
Slider
(6.3%) ,
Curveball
(4.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 52.3 47.7 20.3 20.3 7.2 41.8 35.6 22.5 26.1 19.6 6.5 15.7 16.0 16.0
2025 48.6 51.4 23.9 22.4 5.1 46.7 35.3 18.0 29.0 16.1 3.5 17.6 19.2 14.5
Player 50.6 49.4 21.9 21.2 6.2 44.0 35.5 20.5 27.5 18.0 5.2 16.6 17.5 15.3
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.3 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.2 40.5 20.6 22.9 6.2 5.2 3.1
2025 2.4 40.0 23.9 23.1 4.7 5.1 3.3
Player 3.4 40.3 22.1 23.0 5.5 5.2 3.2
MLB 3.9 32.5 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Slider PIT R 99 84.9 30.4 -5.9 3.6GLV -1.6 7.6 -5.9 3.6GLV -1.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 578 98.1 17.3 -4.1 14.7ARM 6.3 11.3 -4.6 14.7ARM 7.0
2025 Sweeper PIT R 252 84.4 32.6 -5.2 11.2GLV -1.9 6.0 -4.8 11.2GLV -2.8
2025 Changeup PIT R 138 88.1 30.5 -1.1 17.4ARM 2.6 4.9 -0.8 17.4ARM 2.7
2025 Curveball PIT R 70 83.4 42.2 -6.8 6.4GLV -1.7 -2.9 -6.8 6.4GLV -3.0
2025 Split-Finger PIT R 316 93.6 31.2 1.2 13.8ARM 0.7 0.0 2.9 13.8ARM 2.3
2025 Sinker PIT R 126 97.6 23.1 1.9 17.9ARM 2.5 5.7 1.6 17.9ARM 2.6
2024 Curveball PIT R 230 83.0 43.6 -5.3 7.1GLV -1.0 -3.9 -6.1 7.1GLV -2.3
2024 Changeup PIT R 114 87.3 32.5 1.4 17.5ARM 3.1 3.5 1.4 17.5ARM 3.3
2024 Split-Finger PIT R 603 94.0 30.3 1.0 14.0ARM 1.3 0.7 1.9 14.0ARM 3.3
2024 Slider PIT R 132 86.6 29.8 -5.0 1.6GLV -2.9 6.8 -5.2 1.6GLV -3.3
2024 Sweeper PIT R 212 84.7 32.7 -4.3 11.6GLV -1.6 5.5 -4.0 11.6GLV -2.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 834 98.8 17.4 -4.6 14.4ARM 6.0 10.6 -5.1 14.4ARM 6.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 10 578 36.6 136 .185 .315 .262 27.1 28.7 21.5 .214 .379 .290 51.8
2025 Split-Finger 0.5 2 316 20.0 84 .240 .387 .330 24.1 13.1 18.6 .269 .413 .336 45.3
2025 Sweeper 2.2 6 252 16.0 58 .109 .164 .164 30.1 32.8 20.0 .159 .226 .193 19.4
2025 Changeup 3.9 5 138 8.7 39 .077 .103 .078 46.3 59.0 24.2 .090 .123 .091 12.5
2025 Sinker 3.0 4 126 8.0 38 .162 .189 .174 22.4 15.8 15.0 .214 .309 .238 51.6
2025 Slider 0.0 0 99 6.3 15 .214 .357 .333 36.4 20.0 15.8 .177 .210 .202 9.1
2025 Curveball -1.0 -1 70 4.4 20 .235 .353 .320 41.7 25.0 25.0 .230 .268 .287 25.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 7 834 39.2 210 .230 .351 .292 24.2 37.6 21.8 .201 .330 .269 48.7
2024 Split-Finger 2.8 17 603 28.4 155 .184 .234 .238 29.3 20.0 26.7 .231 .325 .284 35.5
2024 Curveball 0.1 0 230 10.8 44 .250 .375 .309 33.7 29.5 24.5 .193 .293 .256 22.2
2024 Sweeper 2.2 5 212 10.0 48 .104 .188 .143 22.6 45.8 21.4 .118 .213 .141 26.9
2024 Slider -2.4 -3 132 6.2 21 .286 .571 .362 32.8 23.8 11.6 .173 .308 .207 18.8
2024 Changeup 2.5 3 114 5.4 36 .088 .118 .149 54.8 55.6 31.7 .099 .112 .127 7.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 137 88.1 97 18.7 3:00 2:45 15
2025 Curveball 70 83.4 43 8.4 9:00 7:45 75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 577 98.1 98 18.7 2:00 1:45 15
2025 Split-Finger 277 93.7 91 14.9 2:15 3:15 -60
2025 Sinker 125 97.6 97 19.3 2:00 2:30 -30
2025 Slider 99 84.9 29 7.9 9:30 11:00 -90
2025 Sweeper 250 84.4 35 12.8 9:15 9:45 -30
2024 Changeup 114 87.3 94 18.4 3:15 2:45 30
2024 Curveball 230 83.0 53 9.5 8:30 7:45 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 832 98.8 98 18.0 2:00 2:00 0
2024 Split-Finger 595 94.0 92 15.0 2:30 3:00 -30
2024 Slider 132 86.6 26 6.7 10:00 11:30 -90
2024 Sweeper 210 84.7 37 13.0 9:00 9:45 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 514 2,125 11 34 -9 -8 28
2025 390 1,579 10 26 -5 -6 25
Player 904 3,704 21 60 -14 21 53
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 2,125 50.4 68.5 78.7 30.9 53.5 44.1 61.9 49.8 28.7 6.3 82.7
2025 1,579 49.5 69.5 78.5 30.2 52.3 46.2 62.1 49.7 29.5 7.2 69.9
Player 3,704 50.0 68.9 78.6 30.6 53.0 45.0 61.9 49.8 29.0 6.6 76.8
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 97 95 96 91 96 50 87 76 70 95 78 75 75 99 49 47 47
2025 96 90 93 89 95 36 88 75 57 78 71 78 70 95 37 33 64
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.98 10 10.4 0 6 11 2 20.0
2025 22.92 5 5.4 0 5 4 3 60.0
Player 22.96 15 15.8 -1 11 15 5 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 10 7 8 11 11 11 12 9 10 9 11 15 9 8 12 8 8 9 11 15 11 11 14 13 9 10 9 12 10 10 10
2025 5 7 4 5 6 4 3 7 3 3 3 5 9 9 5 4 8 5 4 5 7 4 8 7 6 3 5 5 10 4 3
Player 15 14 12 16 17 15 15 16 13 12 14 20 18 17 17 12 16 14 15 20 18 15 22 20 15 13 14 17 20 14 13
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 98.8 -0.8 98.0
Offspeed Velocity 92.9 -0.9 92.0
Breaking Velocity 84.4 0.0 84.4
Exit Velocity 87.8 0.4 88.2
Launch Angle 8.4 1.9 10.3
Barrel % 5.2 -0.1 5.1
Hard Hit % 36.3 3.7 40.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.8 0.4 28.2
xBA .192 0.011 .203
BA .198 -0.023 .175
xwOBA .248 0.009 .257
wOBA .247 -0.016 .231
xSLG .297 0.019 .316
SLG .295 -0.021 .274
K% 33.1 -5.9 27.2
BB% 6.2 0.7 6.9
Swing % 49.8 -0.1 49.7
Whiff% 28.7 0.8 29.5
In Zone % 50.4 -0.9 49.5
Out of Zone % 49.6 0.9 50.5
Out of Zone Swing % 30.9 -0.7 30.2
First Pitch Swing % 34.2 1.2 35.4
First Pitch Strike % 61.9 0.2 62.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 511 .248 250 2 0.8 261 20 7.7
2025 Shades 390 .231 166 2 1.2 224 79 35.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 632 15.9 26.1% 0.0% 275 18.8 0.0% 0.4%
2025 460 16.2 17.8% 0.0% 217 18.4 0.5% 0.5%

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Pitch Distribution