Michael Lorenzen
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 217LBS | Age: 32
Draft: 2013 | Rd: CB-A, #38, Cincinnati Reds | Cal State Fullerton
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 8 6 4.24 18 18 0 97.2 85 1.28
2023 9 9 4.18 29 25 1 153 111 1.21
2024 1 0 0.00 1 1 0 5 4 1.60
10 Seasons 41 38 4.09 343 70 15 729 606 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 18 8-6 4.24 97.2 85 1.28
2023 29 9-9 4.18 153 111 1.21
2024 1 1-0 0.00 5 4 1.60
10 Seasons 343 41-38 4.09 729 606 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 23 1997 369 20 5.4 3.9 89.0 110.9 9.9 39.0 .292 .463 .377 .368 .401 36.0 16.1 11.1 5.40 5.85
2016 24 755 135 5 3.7 2.5 86.4 107.0 2.1 30.4 .242 .329 .281 .289 .335 30.4 23.8 6.4 2.88 3.48
2017 25 1366 243 11 4.5 3.0 85.2 109.1 4.3 30.0 .235 .364 .300 .297 .341 29.6 22.2 9.4 4.45 3.76
2018 26 1292 253 12 4.7 3.5 87.3 113.8 6.1 34.0 .256 .378 .310 .319 .336 33.2 15.7 9.9 3.11 4.33
2019 27 1335 228 7 3.1 2.0 85.5 108.0 11.7 32.0 .214 .332 .277 .271 .321 29.7 24.8 8.2 2.92 3.18
2020 28 608 94 4 4.3 2.7 84.4 109.8 12.0 28.7 .207 .316 .304 .279 .306 26.6 23.8 11.6 4.28 3.25
2021 29 481 89 3 3.4 2.4 88.5 108.4 9.7 31.5 .247 .341 .301 .307 .314 42.7 16.8 11.2 5.59 3.98
2022 30 1654 278 19 6.8 4.6 88.1 115.0 9.7 29.9 .233 .362 .303 .307 .334 37.1 20.7 10.7 4.24 3.91
2023 31 2367 463 37 8.0 5.9 90.0 114.5 13.8 33.9 .258 .442 .304 .327 .366 40.2 17.8 7.5 4.18 4.55
2024 32 79 11 0 0.0 0.0 88.6 107.9 8.0 36.4 .314 .433 .311 .417 .439 54.5 20.0 25.0 0.00 7.62
Player 11934 2163 118 5.5 3.8 87.7 115.0 9.4 33.1 .249 .389 .312 .315 .351 35.0 19.6 9.5
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lorenzen relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(27.8%) ,
Four Seamer
(25.3%) ,
Slider
(25.3%) ,
Changeup
(20.3%) ,
Curveball
(1.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 42.5 14.1 39.3 4.1 30.6 41.2 28.2 3.0 34.4 19.2 30.1 6.0 5.4 3.9
2016 63.7 5.2 26.7 4.4 39.3 36.3 24.4 3.0 51.9 11.1 27.4 1.5 3.7 2.5
2017 56.8 15.2 23.9 4.1 29.6 46.1 24.3 7.8 39.5 16.9 25.9 3.7 4.5 3.0
2018 51.8 17.0 25.3 5.9 33.2 41.9 24.9 5.1 40.3 18.2 26.1 4.0 4.7 3.5
2019 46.5 21.9 25.0 6.6 33.3 37.3 29.4 4.4 37.7 22.4 21.1 7.0 3.1 2.0
2020 51.1 26.6 17.0 5.3 29.8 41.5 28.7 7.4 34.0 30.9 22.3 1.1 4.3 2.7
2021 44.9 23.6 28.1 3.4 29.2 48.3 22.5 6.7 36.0 23.6 23.6 6.7 3.4 2.4
2022 51.1 22.3 20.9 5.8 37.1 37.8 25.2 3.2 38.5 23.7 22.7 5.0 6.8 4.6
2023 41.9 30.0 23.1 5.0 38.7 36.1 25.3 3.2 31.3 27.2 23.8 6.3 8.0 5.9
2024 54.5 9.1 36.4 0.0 36.4 45.5 18.2 9.1 36.4 9.1 36.4 9.1 0.0 0.0
Player 48.5 20.2 26.4 5.0 34.1 39.9 26.0 4.4 37.0 21.6 25.2 5.1 5.5 3.8
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Curveball TEX R 1 80.4 55.3 2.1 4 0.0 -9.9 -100
2024 4-Seam Fastball TEX R 20 93.9 14.8 -0.2 -1 10.7 2.8 35
2024 Changeup TEX R 16 84.0 29.8 -2.5 -8 15.4 1.4 10
2024 Sinker TEX R 22 93.2 21.2 -2.3 -10 15.4 -0.2 -1
2024 Slider TEX R 20 85.4 36.7 0.9 2 3.6 -1.7 -32
2023 Cutter PHI R 22 90.8 25.0 -0.1 0 0.2 -2.0 -110
2023 Sinker PHI R 284 93.7 19.7 -2.9 -13 16.0 0.9 6
2023 Curveball PHI R 27 82.3 53.2 4.2 9 3.7 -4.8 -56
2023 Changeup PHI R 510 84.5 29.1 -2.8 -9 15.9 1.7 12
2023 Sweeper PHI R 151 83.0 39.8 0.3 1 10.6 -3.1 -23
2023 Slider PHI R 551 85.2 37.6 1.2 3 2.5 -2.8 -53
2023 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 821 94.3 14.8 0.4 2 11.8 3.7 45
2022 Changeup LAA R 367 85.7 27.8 -3.1 -10 16.3 2.1 15
2022 Slider LAA R 73 84.7 36.9 0.0 0 4.3 -1.2 -22
2022 Curveball LAA R 35 81.3 56.4 5.8 11 5.5 -3.2 -37
2022 Cutter LAA R 182 90.5 24.5 -0.1 0 0.0 -1.4 -103
2022 Sweeper LAA R 268 83.0 40.3 1.0 3 11.7 -2.3 -16
2022 Sinker LAA R 374 93.8 22.5 -0.4 -2 16.9 1.6 10
2022 4-Seam Fastball LAA R 353 94.7 15.7 -0.8 -5 11.8 3.5 42
2021 Slider CIN R 64 85.3 40.1 4.3 12 11.1 6.0 118
2021 Cutter CIN R 140 91.9 25.1 -1.2 -5 1.2 -0.6 -33
2021 Sweeper CIN R 1 82.4 43.7 2.6 6 16.9 2.4 17
2021 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 131 96.6 13.8 0.2 2 10.1 2.2 29
2021 Changeup CIN R 88 87.2 28.1 -1.7 -6 15.1 0.8 6
2021 Curveball CIN R 13 82.7 54.8 5.9 12 7.1 -0.8 -11
2021 Sinker CIN R 44 95.8 19.1 -2.0 -9 15.5 0.1 1
2020 Changeup CIN R 108 86.7 26.7 -3.0 -10 15.9 2.2 16
2020 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 202 96.8 12.7 1.0 7 10.9 3.2 42
2020 Slider CIN R 105 85.0 39.4 3.1 9 8.6 4.1 89
2020 Sinker CIN R 45 95.7 16.2 -4.3 -21 16.0 0.8 5
2020 Curveball CIN R 40 82.6 55.0 6.3 13 4.7 -3.0 -39
2020 Cutter CIN R 107 92.7 21.9 -0.5 -2 0.2 -2.0 -112
2020 Sweeper CIN R 1 83.7 39.3 -0.6 -1 17.3 2.9 20
2019 Cutter CIN R 344 93.8 21.5 1.6 7 1.4 -3.3 -171
2019 Sinker CIN R 204 96.4 18.1 -2.9 -14 15.3 -0.1 -1
2019 Changeup CIN R 253 87.4 27.1 -3.1 -10 15.6 1.5 10
2019 Curveball CIN R 94 83.8 50.7 2.4 5 2.4 -4.8 -67
2019 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 276 97.2 13.0 1.3 9 10.7 2.6 32
2019 Slider CIN R 127 87.1 35.7 1.2 4 5.7 1.7 44
2018 Changeup CIN R 96 87.4 26.6 -3.1 -10 13.3 -0.5 -4
2018 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 153 95.4 14.9 0.4 3 9.7 1.9 24
2018 Cutter CIN R 328 90.9 27.2 -1.4 -5 2.4 0.2 11
2018 Curveball CIN R 65 81.7 56.2 4.5 9 5.2 -2.6 -33
2018 Slider CIN R 135 86.6 37.6 1.8 5 3.4 -0.7 -16
2018 Sinker CIN R 514 95.0 19.2 -1.8 -9 14.5 -0.2 -2
2017 Sinker CIN R 371 96.3 17.4 -1.3 -7 16.7 1.2 7
2017 Changeup CIN R 30 88.5 21.7 -5.2 -19 13.0 -0.7 -5
2017 Cutter CIN R 267 92.7 21.3 0.0 0 0.9 -1.2 -57
2017 Curveball CIN R 160 82.7 43.9 -4.2 -9 3.0 -4.1 -58
2017 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 330 96.2 11.9 0.9 7 13.3 4.9 58
2017 Slider CIN R 206 88.1 32.4 1.5 5 2.8 -0.1 -3
2016 Curveball CIN R 45 80.7 57.0 5.3 10 6.0 -3.2 -34
2016 Slider CIN R 294 91.4 29.8 1.8 6 4.2 0.7 20
2016 Sinker CIN R 172 96.6 20.3 0.6 3 13.5 -0.5 -3
2016 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 232 96.4 17.0 -2.6 -18 7.2 -0.5 -7
2016 Changeup CIN R 8 88.7 26.3 -2.4 -8 10.4 -1.9 -16
2015 Slider CIN R 316 86.6 33.9 -0.4 -1 4.3 -0.4 -9
2015 Sinker CIN R 107 95.1 19.9 -1.0 -5 13.4 -0.8 -5
2015 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 1,107 94.6 15.8 -0.3 -2 9.1 1.6 22
2015 Curveball CIN R 193 80.7 52.9 1.0 2 5.5 -4.1 -43
2015 Changeup CIN R 140 85.7 28.1 -2.4 -8 11.4 -1.2 -10
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker -1.8 0 22 27.8 8 .333 .333 .400 0.0 0.0 0.0 .540 .753 .596 66.7
2024 Slider 5.0 1 20 25.3 4 .250 .250 .225 22.2 0.0 0.0 .353 .480 .353 50.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 0 20 25.3 3 .000 .000 .467 33.3 33.3 20.0 -- -- .467 --
2024 Changeup 2.5 0 16 20.3 5 .000 .000 .140 50.0 60.0 42.9 .014 .015 .150 0.0
2024 Curveball -2.7 0 1 1.3 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.2 10 821 34.7 195 .211 .333 .302 17.1 21.0 17.1 .235 .458 .338 48.9
2023 Slider 1.1 6 551 23.3 140 .242 .352 .290 29.3 15.7 15.3 .303 .489 .363 46.7
2023 Changeup -0.2 -1 510 21.5 140 .186 .403 .265 31.4 23.6 16.5 .215 .364 .265 28.0
2023 Sinker -1.1 -3 284 12.0 95 .333 .400 .363 3.8 5.3 10.0 .279 .360 .294 31.4
2023 Sweeper -4.0 -6 151 6.4 44 .293 .610 .400 21.4 22.7 14.1 .272 .561 .371 38.7
2023 Curveball -7.9 -2 27 1.1 3 .667 1.667 .967 18.2 0.0 0.0 .476 1.158 .681 100.0
2023 Cutter -7.9 -2 22 0.9 7 .600 1.200 .743 16.7 0.0 0.0 .429 .719 .551 40.0
2022 Sinker 0.6 2 374 22.6 107 .242 .347 .307 17.8 13.1 17.9 .247 .324 .293 47.6
2022 Changeup 0.2 1 367 22.2 101 .154 .242 .232 38.0 29.7 18.8 .183 .261 .241 24.6
2022 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 353 21.3 92 .247 .329 .354 18.4 19.6 14.9 .241 .339 .344 34.5
2022 Sweeper 0.4 1 268 16.2 46 .205 .409 .277 31.8 28.3 19.7 .266 .493 .342 38.7
2022 Cutter -3.6 -7 182 11.0 46 .325 .725 .472 10.8 10.9 11.4 .276 .596 .414 40.0
2022 Slider 3.9 3 73 4.4 15 .067 .067 .060 45.7 33.3 20.8 .150 .196 .149 10.0
2022 Curveball -4.2 -1 35 2.1 4 .750 1.250 .850 18.2 0.0 0.0 .442 .813 .528 75.0
2021 Cutter 0.9 1 140 29.1 32 .296 .370 .356 31.2 12.5 14.3 .301 .372 .358 47.8
2021 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 1 131 27.2 41 .211 .342 .243 20.6 29.3 17.6 .202 .318 .228 50.0
2021 Changeup -3.1 -3 88 18.3 25 .250 .450 .378 25.6 12.0 9.4 .226 .301 .327 23.5
2021 Slider 0.0 0 64 13.3 14 .250 .250 .357 40.7 14.3 11.1 .220 .341 .305 50.0
2021 Sinker 0.1 0 44 9.1 12 .200 .200 .267 11.1 0.0 -- .358 .446 .414 30.0
2021 Curveball -1.1 0 13 2.7 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .111 .120 .118 100.0
2021 Sweeper -2.0 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2020 4-Seam Fastball 2.2 5 202 33.2 53 .077 .077 .240 34.8 30.2 21.9 .080 .116 .235 12.5
2020 Changeup -1.2 -1 108 17.8 28 .269 .500 .352 44.6 25.0 14.9 .233 .365 .288 15.8
2020 Cutter -1.3 -1 107 17.6 31 .467 .700 .503 16.4 3.2 33.3 .329 .504 .355 36.7
2020 Slider 1.9 2 105 17.3 19 .105 .263 .153 52.1 52.6 24.4 .131 .289 .175 11.1
2020 Sinker -3.0 -1 45 7.4 7 .600 .600 .586 26.7 0.0 0.0 .455 .497 .504 40.0
2020 Curveball 2.4 1 40 6.6 8 .125 .125 .113 33.3 12.5 8.3 .304 .377 .293 71.4
2020 Sweeper 2.6 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 Cutter 3.1 11 344 25.8 77 .250 .294 .282 23.9 7.8 20.0 .275 .385 .315 27.7
2019 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -4 276 20.7 69 .246 .525 .355 29.1 34.8 21.8 .203 .402 .299 47.4
2019 Changeup 2.7 7 253 19.0 78 .108 .230 .181 44.7 42.3 26.4 .130 .195 .167 22.0
2019 Sinker 2.1 4 204 15.3 54 .319 .426 .361 14.6 9.3 13.2 .301 .435 .350 27.9
2019 Slider -3.4 -4 127 9.5 27 .280 .560 .413 46.4 18.5 21.7 .276 .456 .335 30.0
2019 Curveball 1.4 1 94 7.0 26 .182 .182 .228 29.4 30.8 20.5 .120 .143 .186 20.0
2018 Sinker 0.9 5 514 39.8 142 .254 .361 .317 9.9 10.6 12.2 .263 .387 .333 40.5
2018 Cutter 0.8 3 328 25.4 88 .244 .359 .332 17.6 15.9 23.0 .255 .414 .336 28.1
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -2 153 11.8 45 .289 .421 .369 17.4 26.7 20.3 .244 .342 .322 26.9
2018 Slider 1.3 2 135 10.4 33 .281 .406 .309 20.0 15.2 9.3 .257 .347 .275 22.2
2018 Changeup -1.9 -2 96 7.4 18 .353 .529 .400 36.6 38.9 23.3 .219 .327 .261 40.0
2018 Curveball 2.6 2 65 5.0 16 .133 .133 .120 17.2 6.3 2.9 .274 .349 .271 26.7
2017 Sinker 1.8 7 371 27.2 101 .186 .221 .262 17.0 18.8 20.9 .205 .281 .277 22.1
2017 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 330 24.2 74 .281 .406 .367 9.9 8.1 9.0 .289 .429 .358 30.5
2017 Cutter -0.7 -2 267 19.5 76 .324 .471 .388 29.3 15.8 26.7 .289 .405 .336 31.6
2017 Slider 1.1 2 206 15.1 54 .208 .358 .250 36.6 31.5 28.3 .215 .359 .251 36.1
2017 Curveball -2.8 -4 160 11.7 45 .205 .455 .316 35.9 55.6 27.8 .165 .383 .268 36.8
2017 Changeup -4.4 -1 30 2.2 6 .400 .600 .475 38.5 16.7 10.0 .186 .288 .286 25.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 16 84.0 97 17.9 2:00 2:15 -15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 20 93.9 96 19.2 1:15 1:15 0
2024 Sinker 22 93.2 94 18.7 1:15 2:00 -45
2024 Slider 20 85.4 19 4.5 9:30 8:45 45
2023 Changeup 508 84.5 99 18.6 2:00 2:15 -15
2023 Curveball 27 82.3 65 15.9 7:00 6:30 30
2023 Cutter 21 90.7 43 7.3 12:30 12:00 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 815 94.3 97 19.8 1:30 1:15 15
2023 Sinker 278 93.7 94 19.8 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Slider 537 85.2 20 3.9 9:15 8:00 75
2023 Sweeper 148 83.0 32 11.6 8:00 8:45 -45
2022 Changeup 358 85.8 98 19.1 2:00 2:15 -15
2022 Curveball 35 81.3 72 18.4 7:00 6:30 30
2022 Cutter 164 90.5 44 8.0 1:00 12:00 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 333 94.7 90 18.9 1:30 1:15 15
2022 Sinker 358 93.8 88 19.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Slider 72 84.7 21 5.5 8:30 8:45 -15
2022 Sweeper 255 83.0 30 12.9 7:45 8:45 -60
2021 Changeup 88 87.2 98 17.2 2:00 2:15 -15
2021 Curveball 13 82.7 78 18.7 7:00 6:45 15
2021 Cutter 140 91.9 39 6.8 12:30 11:30 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 131 96.6 92 18.3 1:15 1:15 0
2021 Sinker 43 95.8 92 19.0 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Slider 64 85.3 31 12.8 7:30 8:30 -60
2020 Changeup 91 86.8 99 18.6 2:00 2:00 0
2020 Curveball 37 82.7 84 17.9 7:00 6:30 30
2020 Cutter 91 92.6 52 8.9 12:45 12:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 190 96.8 95 19.6 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Sinker 37 95.9 92 21.0 1:00 1:45 -45
2020 Slider 97 85.0 32 10.2 7:30 8:30 -60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 509 1,969 7 -5 -11 -7 -16
2016 202 755 10 7 -1 -4 11
2017 356 1,364 -2 20 -12 -5 2
2018 342 1,291 9 13 -10 -5 7
2019 331 1,298 8 17 -4 -6 15
2020 157 645 2 11 -4 -4 5
2021 125 481 3 2 -1 -5 0
2022 411 1,652 13 5 -13 -7 -2
2023 635 2,403 5 20 -12 -10 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,997 46.7 68.9 83.9 26.2 66.3 39.3 57.1 46.1 21.0 7.0 81.4
2016 755 48.5 61.7 87.2 31.4 56.6 43.8 61.9 46.1 22.7 7.8 67.8
2017 1,366 49.4 66.9 83.1 26.0 56.1 45.5 52.5 46.3 24.2 7.5 70.9
2018 1,292 52.3 63.0 87.8 26.8 67.9 42.4 58.9 45.7 16.4 8.7 69.6
2019 1,335 45.1 71.5 75.6 30.6 55.5 42.8 62.7 48.8 30.8 7.2 81.9
2020 608 41.4 67.1 74.6 31.5 48.2 39.8 58.2 46.2 35.2 5.1 74.2
2021 481 45.3 71.6 82.7 28.5 53.3 42.6 73.6 48.0 26.4 7.7 78.4
2022 1,654 46.3 69.3 81.7 28.9 59.1 42.0 62.3 47.6 25.2 7.4 76.4
2023 2,367 50.2 68.6 84.9 30.1 63.1 41.0 66.7 49.4 21.6 8.5 74.0
2024 79 50.6 57.5 87.0 15.4 33.3 30.4 55.0 36.7 24.1 10.1 62.5
Player 11,934 47.9 67.7 83.0 28.5 59.9 41.8 61.0 47.3 23.8 7.6 75.1
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 2 2 7 18 1 32 38 23 22 20 7 34 16 76 78 41 39
2016 93 56 19
2017 69 63 74 77 52 62 77 92 77 55 31 50 31 92 45 65 31
2018 35 26 55 81 18 65 82 76 68 8 24 2 35 80 63 55 8
2019 87 80 91 92 82 92 97 99 93 61 48 83 66 94 93 51 10
2020 78 80 85 85 64 65 84 97 96 53 21 91 82 92 95 11
2021 89 82 8
2022 46 55 61 65 31 44 60 59 58 35 13 48 44 56 79 13
2023 35 30 27 28 50 13 49 23 42 14 64 15 67 51 88 8
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.4 5 3.3 2 3 4 0 0.0
2017 22.8 9 7.2 2 4 9 1 11.1
2018 23.4 6 4.9 1 5 5 1 16.7
2019 23.1 9 6.9 2 5 6 2 22.2
2020 25.6 3 2.8 0 3 2 1 33.3
2021 21.5 2 0.6 1 4 0 0 0.0
2022 24.8 11 9.7 1 5 12 2 18.2
2023 23.4 20 17.5 3 11 8 11 55.0
Player 23.5 65 52.8 12 40 46 18 27.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 5 3 2 4 4 2 4 4 3 1 4 5 3 3 3 6 1 2 2 4 2 1 6 6 2 3 3 6 4 4 2
2017 9 5 6 6 6 8 8 9 6 5 6 11 9 7 8 9 5 6 8 6 9 6 9 10 6 5 5 10 9 8 4
2018 6 7 4 4 4 3 6 5 4 2 3 6 7 4 5 7 3 4 4 6 5 6 8 6 4 3 5 8 6 5 2
2019 9 7 6 8 9 10 9 6 6 5 8 11 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 9 5 9 10 7 4 5 7 10 5 6 5
2020 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 2
2021 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 0
2022 11 8 9 11 9 7 11 8 5 6 7 13 13 7 11 14 7 8 9 10 10 11 17 12 6 6 13 13 13 8 9
2023 20 16 13 18 18 16 19 16 19 17 17 24 18 17 18 18 20 16 17 19 16 16 21 18 17 16 17 17 17 18 16
Player 65 51 44 54 53 50 60 51 45 38 48 75 59 45 55 63 45 44 50 57 50 55 75 63 42 40 55 68 57 51 40
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 96.5 1.8 ↑ 95.3 -1.2 ↓ 93.7 -1.6 ↓ 95.5 1.8 ↑ 95.4 -0.1 ↓ 94.4 -1.0 ↓ 93.5 -0.9 ↓ 94.1 0.6 ↑ 93.5 -0.6 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 88.7 3.0 ↑ 88.5 -0.2 ↓ 87.4 -1.1 ↓ 87.4 0.0 86.7 -0.7 ↓ 87.2 0.5 ↑ 85.7 -1.5 ↓ 84.5 -1.2 ↓ 84.0 -0.5 ↓
Breaking Velocity 84.4 90.0 5.6 ↑ 85.7 -4.3 ↓ 85.0 -0.7 ↓ 85.7 0.7 ↑ 84.3 -1.4 ↓ 84.8 0.5 ↑ 83.2 -1.6 ↓ 84.6 1.4 ↑ 85.2 0.6 ↑
Exit Velocity 89.0 86.4 -2.6 ↓ 85.2 -1.2 ↓ 87.3 2.1 ↑ 85.5 -1.8 ↓ 84.4 -1.1 ↓ 88.5 4.1 ↑ 88.1 -0.4 ↓ 90.0 1.9 ↑ 88.6 -1.4 ↓
Launch Angle 9.9 2.1 -7.8 ↓ 4.3 2.2 ↑ 6.1 1.8 ↑ 11.7 5.6 ↑ 12.0 0.3 ↑ 9.7 -2.3 ↓ 9.7 0.0 13.8 4.1 ↑ 8.0 -5.8 ↓
Barrel % 5.4 3.7 -1.7 ↓ 4.5 0.8 ↑ 4.7 0.2 ↑ 3.1 -1.6 ↓ 4.3 1.2 ↑ 3.4 -0.9 ↓ 6.8 3.4 ↑ 8.0 1.2 ↑ 0.0 -8.0 ↓
Hard Hit % 36.0 30.4 -5.6 ↓ 29.6 -0.8 ↓ 33.2 3.6 ↑ 29.7 -3.5 ↓ 26.6 -3.1 ↓ 42.7 16.1 ↑ 37.1 -5.6 ↓ 40.2 3.1 ↑ 54.5 14.3 ↑
Sweet Spot % 39.0 30.4 -8.6 ↓ 30.0 -0.4 ↓ 34.0 4.0 ↑ 32.0 -2.0 ↓ 28.7 -3.3 ↓ 31.5 2.8 ↑ 29.9 -1.6 ↓ 33.9 4.0 ↑ 36.4 2.5 ↑
xBA .292 .242 -0.050 ↓ .235 -0.007 ↓ .256 0.021 ↑ .214 -0.042 ↓ .207 -0.007 ↓ .247 0.040 ↑ .233 -0.014 ↓ .258 0.025 ↑ .314 0.056 ↑
BA .292 .224 -0.068 ↓ .244 0.020 ↑ .258 0.014 ↑ .221 -0.037 ↓ .236 0.015 ↑ .241 0.005 ↑ .224 -0.017 ↓ .243 0.019 ↑ .200 -0.043 ↓
xwOBA .368 .289 -0.079 ↓ .297 0.008 ↑ .319 0.022 ↑ .271 -0.048 ↓ .279 0.008 ↑ .307 0.028 ↑ .307 0.000 .327 0.020 ↑ .417 0.090 ↑
wOBA .377 .281 -0.096 ↓ .300 0.019 ↑ .310 0.010 ↑ .277 -0.033 ↓ .304 0.027 ↑ .301 -0.003 ↓ .303 0.002 ↑ .304 0.001 ↑ .311 0.007 ↑
xSLG .463 .329 -0.134 ↓ .364 0.035 ↑ .378 0.014 ↑ .332 -0.046 ↓ .316 -0.016 ↓ .341 0.025 ↑ .362 0.021 ↑ .442 0.080 ↑ .433 -0.009 ↓
SLG .503 .333 -0.170 ↓ .372 0.039 ↑ .371 -0.001 ↓ .355 -0.016 ↓ .362 0.007 ↑ .343 -0.019 ↓ .365 0.022 ↑ .399 0.034 ↑ .200 -0.199 ↓
K% 16.1 23.8 7.7 ↑ 22.2 -1.6 ↓ 15.7 -6.5 ↓ 24.8 9.1 ↑ 23.8 -1.0 ↓ 16.8 -7.0 ↓ 20.7 3.9 ↑ 17.8 -2.9 ↓ 20.0 2.2 ↑
BB% 11.1 6.4 -4.7 ↓ 9.4 3.0 ↑ 9.9 0.5 ↑ 8.2 -1.7 ↓ 11.6 3.4 ↑ 11.2 -0.4 ↓ 10.7 -0.5 ↓ 7.5 -3.2 ↓ 25.0 17.5 ↑
Swing % 46.1 46.1 0.0 46.3 0.2 ↑ 45.7 -0.6 ↓ 48.8 3.1 ↑ 46.2 -2.6 ↓ 48.0 1.8 ↑ 47.6 -0.4 ↓ 49.4 1.8 ↑ 36.7 -12.7 ↓
Whiff% 21.0 22.7 1.7 ↑ 24.2 1.5 ↑ 16.4 -7.8 ↓ 30.8 14.4 ↑ 35.2 4.4 ↑ 26.4 -8.8 ↓ 25.2 -1.2 ↓ 21.6 -3.6 ↓ 24.1 2.5 ↑
In Zone % 46.7 48.5 1.8 ↑ 49.4 0.9 ↑ 52.3 2.9 ↑ 45.1 -7.2 ↓ 41.4 -3.7 ↓ 45.3 3.9 ↑ 46.3 1.0 ↑ 50.2 3.9 ↑ 50.6 0.4 ↑
Out of Zone % 53.3 51.5 -1.8 ↓ 50.6 -0.9 ↓ 47.7 -2.9 ↓ 54.9 7.2 ↑ 58.6 3.7 ↑ 54.7 -3.9 ↓ 53.7 -1.0 ↓ 49.8 -3.9 ↓ 49.4 -0.4 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 26.2 31.4 5.2 ↑ 26.0 -5.4 ↓ 26.8 0.8 ↑ 30.6 3.8 ↑ 31.5 0.9 ↑ 28.5 -3.0 ↓ 28.9 0.4 ↑ 30.1 1.2 ↑ 15.4 -14.7 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 27.6 28.7 1.1 ↑ 26.4 -2.3 ↓ 27.4 1.0 ↑ 31.8 4.4 ↑ 32.9 1.1 ↑ 43.2 10.3 ↑ 31.9 -11.3 ↓ 33.5 1.6 ↑ 10.0 -23.5 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 61.9 4.8 ↑ 52.5 -9.4 ↓ 58.9 6.4 ↑ 62.7 3.8 ↑ 58.2 -4.5 ↓ 73.6 15.4 ↑ 62.3 -11.3 ↓ 66.7 4.4 ↑ 55.0 -11.7 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 200 .284 101 1 1.0 99 22 22.2
2017 Shifts 356 .300 196 7 3.6 160 48 30.0
2018 Shifts 342 .310 195 2 1.0 147 40 27.2
2019 Shifts 335 .278 191 12 6.3 144 85 59.0
2020 Shifts 146 .304 70 9 12.9 76 42 55.3
2021 Shifts 125 .301 52 4 7.7 73 37 50.7
2022 Shifts 411 .303 224 52 23.2 187 145 77.5
2023 Shades 624 .304 271 6 2.2 353 190 53.8
2024 Shades 20 .311 13 0 0.0 7 5 71.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2015 532 15.6 42.9% 3.0% 359 20.2 11.7% 9.7%
2016 217 15.6 44.2% 3.7% 132 21.9 6.1% 6.8%
2017 376 16.9 22.6% 1.9% 240 21.3 1.7% 6.7%
2018 343 14.2 60.6% 1.2% 240 18.2 15.4% 3.3%
2019 382 17.9 13.4% 2.1% 195 21.2 1.0% 4.1%
2020 142 16.7 31.0% 2.1% 120 20.2 1.7% 4.2%
2021 138 19.0 4.3% 1.4% 72 21.9 0.0% 12.5%
2022 476 16.4 34.2% 0.8% 277 20.8 2.5% 5.1%
2023 678 14.7 54.4% 0.0% 350 17.0 19.4% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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