Juan Nicasio
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 250LBS | Age: 35

Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 0 0 40.50 2 0 0 1.1 1 5.25
10 Seasons 40 46 4.71 364 82 9 720.1 668 1.43
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 2 0-0 40.50 1.1 1 5.25
10 Seasons 364 40-46 4.71 720.1 668 1.43

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 1083 162 6 3.7 2.3 85.3 109.8 13.7 35.2 .235 .334 .321 .297 .354 20.4 25.0 12.3 3.86 3.61
2016 29 2165 323 16 5 3.1 88.5 111.0 13.0 30.3 .219 .343 .330 .285 .350 31.6 26.9 8.8 4.50 3.38
2017 30 1227 196 9 4.6 3.1 87.4 113.9 11.2 32.1 .231 .348 .265 .278 .340 33.9 24.8 6.9 2.61 3.27
2018 31 765 123 8 6.5 4.4 89.0 109.6 16.6 39.8 .231 .378 .349 .275 .370 35.0 29.0 2.7 6.00 3.15
2019 32 832 149 13 8.7 6 89.4 111.0 9.7 36.9 .287 .446 .339 .347 .411 38.9 20.7 9.7 4.75 5.44
2020 33 46 8 1 12.5 9.1 81.5 109.8 16.1 50.0 .399 .775 .693 .532 .556 25.0 9.1 18.2 40.50 16.37
Player 6118 961 53 5.5 3.6 87.9 113.9 12.8 33.9 .237 .366 .322 .296 .363 31.7 25.4 8.5
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 33.0 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nicasio relies on 3 pitches.
Sinker
(67.4%) ,
Slider
(26.1%) ,
Changeup
(6.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 46.9 21.6 26.5 4.9 29.0 41.4 29.6 4.9 31.5 24.7 27.8 1.9 3.7 2.3
2016 44.9 19.5 27.2 8.4 35.3 36.2 26.9 3.4 34.7 23.2 21.4 4.6 5.0 3.1
2017 46.4 18.9 26.0 8.7 28.1 39.8 32.1 3.6 35.2 25.5 22.4 5.6 4.6 3.1
2018 36.6 27.6 28.5 7.3 22.8 44.7 32.5 0.0 30.9 28.5 26.0 7.3 6.5 4.4
2019 47.7 19.5 28.9 4.0 28.9 40.9 30.2 3.4 34.2 18.1 28.2 5.4 8.7 6.0
2020 25.0 25.0 37.5 12.5 37.5 12.5 50.0 12.5 12.5 25.0 25.0 12.5 12.5 9.1
Player 44.7 20.8 27.4 7.1 30.2 39.4 29.9 3.3 33.5 23.8 24.3 4.9 5.5 3.6
MLB 44.9 23.0 25.0 7.1 36.7 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Slider TEX R 12 86.5 32.0 -2.4 -7 2.0 -2.2 -53
2020 Sinker TEX R 31 93.5 18.3 -3.2 -15 9.7 -5.0 -34
2020 Changeup TEX R 3 85.1 23.6 -6.7 -22 12.5 -0.7 -6
2019 Changeup PHI R 2 84.7 27.2 -3.2 -11 12.0 -1.0 -8
2019 Sinker PHI R 101 93.1 19.6 -2.7 -12 14.0 -0.9 -6
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 349 93.8 16.0 -0.1 -1 9.6 1.8 24
2019 Slider PHI R 380 86.7 31.5 -2.8 -8 1.8 -2.2 -55
2018 Slider SEA R 218 87.4 30.1 -3.1 -9 1.3 -2.7 -67
2018 Changeup SEA R 19 88.0 20.4 -8.7 -30 8.8 -5.0 -36
2018 Sinker SEA R 80 93.7 17.2 -4.5 -21 13.1 -1.8 -12
2018 4-Seamer SEA R 448 93.9 14.8 1.1 7 9.3 1.5 20
2017 Changeup STL R 22 87.1 24.5 -3.0 -11 11.0 -2.5 -19
2017 Slider STL R 311 88.5 27.7 -2.4 -8 0.6 -2.4 -80
2017 4-Seamer STL R 709 95.3 13.2 0.1 1 9.6 1.2 15
2017 Sinker STL R 166 95.2 17.1 -2.3 -12 14.6 -0.8 -5
2016 4-Seamer PIT R 1,367 94.3 13.3 0.0 0 9.4 0.7 8
2016 Changeup PIT R 40 87.3 19.8 -7.0 -26 8.5 -4.7 -36
2016 Slider PIT R 591 87.0 30.3 -0.5 -2 1.3 -1.0 -43
2016 Sinker PIT R 25 93.5 16.8 -1.7 -9 17.2 2.6 18
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Sinker 13.8 4 31 67.4 8 .667 1.500 .850 23.1 12.5 12.5 .473 1.022 .644 40.0
2020 Slider 3.9 0 12 26.1 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .252 .281 .233 0.0
2020 Changeup -0.6 0 3 6.5 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 Slider 0.5 2 380 45.7 88 .298 .381 .329 23.0 21.6 15.0 .268 .377 .296 27.7
2019 4-Seamer 0.4 1 349 41.9 100 .291 .488 .371 19.2 23.0 18.7 .293 .479 .375 51.5
2019 Sinker 0.4 0 101 12.1 23 .300 .450 .372 18.0 13.0 15.0 .305 .565 .404 35.3
2019 Changeup 11.5 0 2 0.2 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .927 1.062 .861 0.0
2018 4-Seamer -0.1 0 448 58.6 93 .267 .478 .338 24.9 34.4 21.9 .206 .359 .255 43.1
2018 Slider 2.4 5 218 28.5 66 .317 .467 .345 22.4 24.2 17.0 .217 .310 .248 25.5
2018 Sinker 2.3 2 80 10.5 20 .389 .500 .385 22.9 25.0 19.2 .283 .434 .314 28.6
2018 Changeup 9.1 2 19 2.5 4 .750 1.500 .950 8.3 0.0 0.0 .774 1.553 .985 50.0
2017 4-Seamer -1.0 -7 709 57.8 149 .226 .372 .285 26.2 28.2 16.2 .232 .357 .284 38.5
2017 Slider -1.1 -4 311 25.3 94 .209 .326 .287 23.5 24.5 18.3 .225 .356 .292 33.3
2017 Sinker -2.3 -4 166 13.5 39 .184 .211 .188 15.2 17.9 15.6 .228 .293 .236 22.6
2017 Changeup 3.2 1 22 1.8 2 .500 .500 .450 11.1 0.0 0.0 .450 .522 .427 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Sinker 29 93.4 98 16.0 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Slider 11 86.4 44 3.5 12:45 10:45 120
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 295 1,145 1 -10 5 3 0
2012 256 1,020 9 -5 1 5 9
2013 695 2,834 -15 2 19 12 18
2014 389 1,523 -1 -2 15 5 17
2015 254 1,060 -3 -7 6 3 -1
2016 510 2,153 2 -15 11 8 5
2017 284 1,208 -12 -12 7 4 -14
2018 183 765 7 -7 6 2 8
2019 212 832 2 -7 4 4 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,083 48.6 69.0 78.0 26.4 62.6 42.5 62.3 47.1 26.1 7.5 77.8
2016 2,165 48.7 65.4 80.7 28.9 63.6 45.5 63.0 46.7 24.2 6.7 84.0
2017 1,227 53.9 71.8 77.6 27.3 71.1 43.3 68.1 51.3 23.5 10.1 82.0
2018 765 52.3 70.8 81.6 30.7 63.4 46.4 62.8 51.6 23.5 8.5 84.6
2019 832 48.6 72.0 81.8 28.0 65.8 42.4 65.3 49.4 20.7 7.1 83.1
2020 46 37.0 70.6 83.3 17.2 80.0 58.7 54.5 37.0 17.6 0.0 --
Player 6,118 50.1 69.0 79.8 28.1 65.1 44.3 64.1 48.6 23.7 7.7 82.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.3 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 62 59 82 89 17 85 82 97 100 78 2 76 17 88 31 43
2016 79 83 81 76 69 46 70 51 73 85 36 60 49 74 27 44
2017 83 70 83 84 80 72 74 43 44 69 75 45 46 85 17 35
2018 69 19 24
2019 15 6 31 58 4 60 21 28 28 32 25 15 37 59 11 35
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.8 15 11.7 3 10 9 4 26.7
2017 23.1 5 3.1 2 5 2 2 40.0
2018 23.7 6 4.5 2 2 5 1 16.7
2019 21.7 4 5.0 -1 2 4 2 50.0
2020 25.2 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 15 12 14 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 15 12 10 10 12 12 12 13 4 13 18 7 9 11 11 12 14 11 7 13 15
2017 5 4 3 2 3 5 3 4 3 2 4 3 2 3 2 3 3 4 2 2 6 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 4 3 6
2018 6 8 3 4 5 6 3 6 3 4 5 5 2 2 3 6 2 7 3 3 6 5 4 6 6 5 6 3 2 6 6
2019 4 3 6 5 5 5 5 7 6 3 5 5 3 4 5 6 4 5 4 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 7 4 5 5 6
2020 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.6 94.3 -1.3 95.3 1 93.9 -1.4 93.6 -0.3 93.5 -0.1
Offspeed Velocity 87.5 87.3 -0.2 87.1 -0.2 88 0.9 84.7 -3.3 85.1 0.4
Breaking Velocity 86.9 87 0.1 88.5 1.5 87.4 -1.1 86.7 -0.7 86.5 -0.2
Exit Velocity 85.3 88.5 3.2 87.4 -1.1 89 1.6 89.4 0.4 81.5 -7.9
Launch Angle 13.7 13 -0.7 11.2 -1.8 16.6 5.4 9.7 -6.9 16.1 6.4
Barrel % 3.7 5 1.3 4.6 -0.4 6.5 1.9 8.7 2.2 12.5 3.8
Hard Hit % 20.4 31.6 11.2 33.9 2.3 35 1.1 38.9 3.9 25 -13.9
Sweet Spot % 35.2 30.3 -4.9 32.1 1.8 39.8 7.7 36.9 -2.9 50 13.1
xBA .235 .219 -0.016 .231 0.012 .231 0 .287 0.056 .399 0.112
BA .263 .261 -0.002 .217 -0.044 .308 0.091 .298 -0.01 .556 0.258
xwOBA .297 .285 -0.012 .278 -0.007 .275 -0.003 .347 0.072 .532 0.185
wOBA .321 .33 0.009 .265 -0.065 .349 0.084 .339 -0.01 .693 0.354
xSLG .334 .343 0.009 .348 0.005 .378 0.03 .446 0.068 .775 0.329
SLG .384 .441 0.057 .333 -0.108 .5 0.167 .44 -0.06 1.111 0.671
K% 25 26.9 1.9 24.8 -2.1 29 4.2 20.7 -8.3 9.1 -11.6
BB% 12.3 8.8 -3.5 6.9 -1.9 2.7 -4.2 9.7 7 18.2 8.5
Swing % 47.1 46.7 -0.4 51.3 4.6 51.6 0.3 49.4 -2.2 37 -12.4
Whiff% 26.1 24.2 -1.9 23.5 -0.7 23.5 0 20.7 -2.8 17.6 -3.1
In Zone % 48.6 48.7 0.1 53.9 5.2 52.3 -1.6 48.6 -3.7 37 -11.6
Out of Zone % 51.4 51.3 -0.1 46.1 -5.2 47.7 1.6 51.4 3.7 63 11.6
Out of Zone Swing % 26.4 28.9 2.5 27.3 -1.6 30.7 3.4 28 -2.7 17.2 -10.8
First Pitch Swing % 33.1 28.5 -4.6 34.7 6.2 35 0.3 38 3 18.2 -19.8
First Pitch Strike % 62.3 63 0.7 68.1 5.1 62.8 -5.3 65.3 2.5 54.5 -10.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 474 .334 263 22 8.4 211 55 26.1
2017 285 .264 159 3 1.9 126 20 15.9
2018 183 .349 108 2 1.9 75 36 48.0
2019 212 .339 135 12 8.9 77 32 41.6
2020 11 .693 6 0 0.0 5 4 80.0

Pitch Tempo