Carlos Hernández
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 255LBS | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 6 2 3.68 24 11 0 85.2 74 1.28
2022 0 5 7.39 27 7 0 56 35 1.84
2023 1 10 5.27 67 4 4 70 77 1.33
4 Seasons 7 18 5.17 123 25 4 226.1 199 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 24 6-2 3.68 85.2 74 1.28
2022 27 0-5 7.39 56 35 1.84
2023 67 1-10 5.27 70 77 1.33
4 Seasons 123 7-18 5.17 226.1 199 1.46
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 255 47 6 12.8 9.0 91.6 112.8 15.3 31.9 .309 .554 .405 .400 .465 46.8 19.4 9.0 4.91 7.35
2021 24 1434 239 17 7.1 4.7 89.8 122.2 15.2 33.9 .234 .387 .291 .320 .349 39.3 20.7 11.5 3.68 4.35
2022 25 1035 199 16 8.0 6.0 88.7 110.9 14.5 36.7 .272 .448 .378 .351 .359 38.2 13.2 11.7 7.39 5.28
2023 26 1251 191 19 9.9 6.3 90.2 110.5 17.7 40.3 .252 .435 .319 .332 .405 44.5 25.6 10.6 5.27 4.70
Player 3975 676 58 8.6 5.8 89.7 122.2 15.7 36.4 .255 .430 .330 .337 .376 41.0 20.1 11.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Hernández relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(55.3%) ,
Slider
(23.6%) ,
Split Finger
(11.1%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(9.3%) ,
Sinker
(0.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 42.6 23.4 25.5 8.5 36.2 34.0 29.8 0.0 31.9 23.4 25.5 6.4 12.8 9.0
2021 40.2 28.0 24.3 7.5 36.0 33.5 30.5 0.4 33.1 31.0 22.2 6.3 7.1 4.7
2022 37.7 27.6 26.6 8.0 34.2 34.7 31.2 7.0 25.6 30.7 22.6 5.5 8.0 6.0
2023 33.0 31.9 28.8 6.3 40.8 34.6 24.6 2.6 24.6 29.3 26.2 6.8 9.9 6.3
Player 37.6 28.7 26.3 7.4 36.8 34.2 29.0 3.0 28.4 29.9 23.7 6.2 8.6 5.8
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sinker KC R 9 98.1 9.5 -9.1 -49 17.0 2.1 14
2023 Slider KC R 295 88.6 31.6 -0.8 -2 1.5 -2.5 -62
2023 Curveball KC R 116 84.0 42.8 -5.3 -11 2.7 -3.6 -57
2023 4-Seam Fastball KC R 691 99.1 11.1 1.0 8 9.8 1.5 19
2023 Split-Finger KC R 139 89.0 25.7 -5.0 -16 10.7 -0.7 -6
2022 Curveball KC R 227 82.1 45.1 -5.5 -11 3.1 -3.9 -56
2022 Slider KC R 176 85.8 34.9 -0.4 -1 3.1 -1.9 -38
2022 Sinker KC R 4 95.4 13.3 -6.8 -34 15.6 0.8 5
2022 Split-Finger KC R 100 84.9 28.7 -4.2 -13 9.5 -1.5 -14
2022 4-Seam Fastball KC R 494 96.7 12.1 0.8 6 8.1 0.9 12
2021 Curveball KC R 266 81.8 50.4 -0.9 -2 5.9 -1.8 -24
2021 Split-Finger KC R 135 86.5 26.3 -6.6 -20 9.5 -0.2 -2
2021 Slider KC R 233 85.3 36.4 0.8 2 3.7 -1.4 -27
2021 4-Seam Fastball KC R 800 97.2 11.8 1.0 8 7.4 -0.3 -4
2020 4-Seam Fastball KC R 130 96.1 12.9 0.9 6 9.5 1.8 24
2020 Curveball KC R 63 82.5 49.3 -0.6 -1 4.7 -2.8 -37
2020 Slider KC R 22 84.5 39.5 2.2 6 2.8 -2.5 -47
2020 Sinker KC R 1 99.1 11.7 -6.3 -35 14.8 -0.8 -5
2020 Split-Finger KC R 39 85.9 26.4 -5.5 -17 11.7 1.3 13
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 -1 692 55.3 163 .272 .507 .402 25.4 21.5 15.9 .274 .482 .382 49.5
2023 Slider -1.1 -3 295 23.6 83 .182 .325 .244 36.9 31.3 20.3 .209 .363 .259 41.5
2023 Split-Finger -0.2 0 139 11.1 30 .200 .267 .203 36.2 30.0 16.1 .271 .373 .277 38.1
2023 Curveball -3.0 -3 116 9.3 23 .182 .455 .283 41.5 30.4 25.9 .239 .480 .317 33.3
2023 Sinker -2.2 0 9 0.7 1 1.000 1.000 -- 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- -- 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball -2.1 -11 514 49.7 115 .366 .581 .450 17.8 6.1 6.3 .311 .540 .417 43.2
2022 Curveball 0.2 0 232 22.4 74 .212 .303 .256 22.6 16.2 16.7 .237 .322 .285 29.1
2022 Slider -3.4 -6 179 17.3 52 .375 .563 .414 35.4 21.2 18.3 .293 .511 .361 44.7
2022 Split-Finger -1.9 -2 106 10.2 24 .273 .455 .315 30.2 20.8 18.5 .162 .300 .221 27.8
2022 Sinker -4.7 0 4 0.4 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 9 800 55.8 198 .216 .364 .327 22.2 18.7 18.6 .239 .400 .350 46.0
2021 Curveball -0.9 -2 266 18.5 64 .271 .305 .319 29.4 28.1 18.9 .226 .337 .277 29.3
2021 Slider 1.4 3 233 16.2 56 .196 .275 .224 36.5 19.6 21.6 .263 .440 .321 42.9
2021 Split-Finger -2.2 -3 135 9.4 39 .211 .316 .240 24.7 20.5 11.3 .184 .340 .236 20.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 1 130 51.0 34 .233 .567 .375 22.2 14.7 26.3 .321 .651 .440 60.0
2020 Curveball -7.4 -5 63 24.7 15 .571 .857 .623 29.6 26.7 13.8 .354 .591 .421 60.0
2020 Split-Finger 2.9 1 39 15.3 10 .200 .200 .180 30.0 20.0 13.3 .209 .247 .201 0.0
2020 Slider -6.4 -1 22 8.6 8 .333 .500 .444 25.0 25.0 25.0 .307 .488 .433 25.0
2020 Sinker -4.3 0 1 0.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 4-Seam Fastball 673 99.1 96 19.3 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Splitter 132 88.9 91 14.0 1:15 1:45 -30
2023 Knuckle Curve 112 84.0 42 7.2 8:00 6:45 75
2023 Slider 274 88.7 23 3.7 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 493 96.7 93 18.7 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Splitter 98 84.9 92 13.3 1:00 1:45 -45
2022 Knuckle Curve 223 82.1 47 7.8 7:45 7:00 45
2022 Slider 168 85.8 21 4.2 10:30 9:30 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 794 97.2 93 18.4 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Splitter 132 86.5 93 14.1 1:00 1:30 -30
2021 Knuckle Curve 263 81.8 66 13.5 7:15 7:00 15
2021 Slider 226 85.3 26 4.8 9:30 8:45 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 129 96.1 95 18.9 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Splitter 37 85.8 94 15.3 1:00 1:45 -45
2020 Knuckle Curve 56 82.4 63 12.7 7:15 6:45 30
2020 Slider 21 84.4 35 4.9 9:00 7:45 75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 67 255 -3 2 -1 -2 -4
2021 357 1,434 12 21 -16 -10 7
2022 265 1,035 0 -4 -9 -5 -19
2023 300 1,251 4 1 -8 -6 -8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 255 47.5 71.1 84.9 23.9 46.9 39.6 53.7 46.3 25.4 9.4 70.8
2021 1,434 47.3 72.3 80.8 24.9 56.4 42.3 53.5 47.3 25.8 5.9 83.5
2022 1,035 46.7 71.6 81.5 26.3 62.8 43.8 58.1 47.4 23.6 7.7 88.8
2023 1,251 49.1 74.4 77.5 30.0 50.8 42.1 59.0 51.8 30.2 8.0 77.0
Player 3,975 47.7 72.7 80.1 26.7 55.6 42.4 56.4 48.7 26.7 7.3 81.7
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2020 89 76 24 92
2021 38 55 55 55 29 50 59 25 43 29 15 47 17 95 83 39 88
2022 8 8 12 15 4 51 36 45 48 1 7 30 15 90 83 23 71
2023 27 37 29 28 29 46 20 18 12 66 20 78 65 99 91 33 68
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.2 4 5.2 -1 1 5 1 25.0
2021 23.6 7 8.9 -2 5 7 4 57.1
2022 25.2 7 8.9 -2 0 5 6 85.7
2023 23.5 10 11.0 -1 5 8 5 50.0
Player 23.8 28 33.9 -6 11 25 16 57.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 4 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 2 4 4 4 6 4 5 6 6 6 5 6 5 4 7 6 6 5 4 6 6 5 4
2021 7 11 11 10 8 7 9 9 5 6 7 12 9 7 7 12 8 8 9 11 7 8 12 10 7 8 12 9 10 7 10
2022 7 10 7 10 9 8 10 9 8 6 7 9 11 9 8 11 9 8 9 9 9 10 11 10 8 7 9 11 11 8 6
2023 10 7 11 10 11 11 12 11 11 10 11 11 10 10 11 13 11 11 13 12 11 13 15 14 9 10 9 11 10 11 9
Player 28 33 34 36 33 32 37 35 26 26 29 36 36 30 31 42 34 33 36 38 32 35 45 40 30 30 34 37 37 31 29
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 96.2 97.2 1.0 ↑ 96.8 -0.4 ↓ 99.1 2.3 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 85.9 86.5 0.6 ↑ 85.0 -1.5 ↓ 89.0 4.0 ↑
Breaking Velocity 83.0 83.4 0.4 ↑ 83.7 0.3 ↑ 87.3 3.6 ↑
Exit Velocity 91.6 89.8 -1.8 ↓ 88.7 -1.1 ↓ 90.2 1.5 ↑
Launch Angle 15.3 15.2 -0.1 ↓ 14.5 -0.7 ↓ 17.7 3.2 ↑
Barrel % 12.8 7.1 -5.7 ↓ 8.0 0.9 ↑ 9.9 1.9 ↑
Hard Hit % 46.8 39.3 -7.5 ↓ 38.2 -1.1 ↓ 44.5 6.3 ↑
Sweet Spot % 31.9 33.9 2.0 ↑ 36.7 2.8 ↑ 40.3 3.6 ↑
xBA .309 .234 -0.075 ↓ .272 0.038 ↑ .252 -0.020 ↓
BA .317 .223 -0.094 ↓ .314 0.091 ↑ .233 -0.081 ↓
xwOBA .400 .320 -0.080 ↓ .351 0.031 ↑ .332 -0.019 ↓
wOBA .405 .291 -0.114 ↓ .378 0.087 ↑ .319 -0.059 ↓
xSLG .554 .387 -0.167 ↓ .448 0.061 ↑ .435 -0.013 ↓
SLG .567 .332 -0.235 ↓ .485 0.153 ↑ .425 -0.060 ↓
K% 19.4 20.7 1.3 ↑ 13.2 -7.5 ↓ 25.6 12.4 ↑
BB% 9.0 11.5 2.5 ↑ 11.7 0.2 ↑ 10.6 -1.1 ↓
Swing % 46.3 47.3 1.0 ↑ 47.4 0.1 ↑ 51.8 4.4 ↑
Whiff% 25.4 25.8 0.4 ↑ 23.6 -2.2 ↓ 30.2 6.6 ↑
In Zone % 47.5 47.3 -0.2 ↓ 46.7 -0.6 ↓ 49.1 2.4 ↑
Out of Zone % 52.5 52.7 0.2 ↑ 53.3 0.6 ↑ 50.9 -2.4 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 23.9 24.9 1.0 ↑ 26.3 1.4 ↑ 30.0 3.7 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 31.3 28.0 -3.3 ↓ 30.6 2.6 ↑ 32.3 1.7 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 53.7 53.5 -0.2 ↓ 58.1 4.6 ↑ 59.0 0.9 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 67 .405 32 7 21.9 35 22 62.9
2021 Shifts 357 .291 192 38 19.8 165 94 57.0
2022 Shifts 265 .378 153 12 7.8 112 67 59.8
2023 Shades 298 .314 154 12 7.8 144 48 33.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 74 16.9 31.1% 2.7% 43 24.2 0.0% 14.0%
2021 388 20.1 4.1% 3.6% 253 23.1 1.6% 7.5%
2022 278 18.7 7.6% 0.7% 184 21.6 1.1% 5.4%
2023 318 15.5 41.8% 0.9% 186 17.4 19.4% 1.1%
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Pitch Distribution

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