Brad Keller
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 5" 255LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2013 | Rd: 8, #240, Arizona Diamondbacks | Flowery Branch (GA) HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 6 14 5.09 35 22 1 139.2 102 1.50
5 Seasons 35 49 4.25 139 105 1 633.2 475 1.41
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 35 6-14 5.09 139.2 102 1.50
5 Seasons 139 35-49 4.25 633.2 475 1.41

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 2234 435 20 4.6 3.4 88.1 112.9 7.0 28.0 .247 .357 .290 .301 .322 31.6 16.5 8.4 3.08 3.81
2019 23 2711 508 30 5.9 4.2 89.1 112.5 9.1 32.5 .257 .415 .307 .329 .353 38.6 17.3 9.6 4.19 4.82
2020 24 858 161 6 3.7 2.8 89.2 113.9 7.5 32.9 .270 .397 .236 .323 .348 39.1 16.3 7.9 2.47 4.45
2021 25 2348 422 46 10.9 7.5 90.0 114.1 7.9 37.0 .292 .505 .358 .380 .437 45.0 19.6 10.3 5.39 6.47
2022 26 2275 456 30 6.6 4.9 89.3 112.9 6.7 28.7 .256 .405 .337 .323 .349 41.4 16.6 9.1 5.09 4.37
Player 10426 1982 132 6.7 4.8 89.1 114.1 7.7 31.6 .264 .419 .316 .333 .363 39.1 17.4 9.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keller relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(36.1%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(35.3%) ,
Sinker
(23.6%) ,
Changeup
(5.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 55.6 15.9 23.4 5.1 41.8 34.5 23.4 2.8 45.1 20.0 24.4 2.3 4.6 3.4
2019 50.8 17.1 26.0 6.1 36.4 38.4 25.2 3.3 38.6 21.1 23.8 6.7 5.9 4.2
2020 52.8 16.1 25.5 5.6 37.9 36.6 25.5 4.3 36.6 20.5 29.8 4.3 3.7 2.8
2021 49.1 22.3 24.9 3.8 35.5 37.9 26.5 4.5 36.3 16.4 26.3 5.7 10.9 7.5
2022 52.4 22.1 22.1 3.3 34.4 43.0 22.6 3.5 41.2 19.7 23.7 5.0 6.6 4.9
Player 52.0 19.0 24.3 4.7 37.1 38.3 24.5 3.6 40.0 19.5 24.9 4.9 6.7 4.8
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Sinker KC R 536 93.4 23.5 2.4 11 10.4 -3.9 -28
2022 Changeup KC R 115 90.0 25.1 -2.8 -10 10.1 -4.5 -31
2022 Slider KC R 821 86.9 38.5 4.6 14 5.7 1.5 37
2022 4-Seamer KC R 803 94.5 17.3 -3.2 -22 2.4 -9.3 -136
2021 Changeup KC R 148 90.0 24.3 -2.9 -11 12.4 -1.9 -13
2021 Sinker KC R 684 93.7 21.5 0.8 4 10.8 -3.5 -25
2021 Slider KC R 818 86.1 40.6 5.7 16 6.1 1.7 39
2021 4-Seamer KC R 698 94.2 16.7 -2.4 -17 1.0 -7.7 -115
2020 4-Seamer KC R 329 92.8 18.4 -3.4 -23 2.6 -9.1 -140
2020 Changeup KC R 17 88.7 27.0 -1.4 -5 8.3 -5.5 -40
2020 Sinker KC R 184 92.3 23.0 1.6 8 9.5 -4.7 -33
2020 Slider KC R 328 84.6 43.5 6.9 19 6.2 1.7 38
2019 Changeup KC R 38 87.8 29.0 -0.3 -1 6.8 -7.1 -51
2019 Sinker KC R 689 92.8 22.2 0.2 1 10.8 -3.8 -26
2019 4-Seamer KC R 1,133 93.7 17.2 -1.5 -10 0.0 -7.3 -100
2019 Slider KC R 851 84.9 44.0 6.5 17 7.2 2.5 53
2018 Sinker KC R 569 93.1 22.3 0.7 3 11.6 -3.0 -21
2018 Changeup KC R 85 88.2 29.2 0.6 2 11.1 -2.7 -20
2018 4-Seamer KC R 994 94.3 17.4 -2.1 -14 0.9 -6.5 -87
2018 Slider KC R 584 85.6 42.0 5.2 14 6.1 1.6 35
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Slider 0.8 6 821 36.1 225 .265 .430 .336 29.2 20.4 18.6 .247 .426 .331 42.3
2022 4-Seamer 0.6 5 803 35.3 226 .250 .380 .317 18.1 20.4 18.0 .248 .369 .300 34.4
2022 Sinker 1.6 8 536 23.6 136 .370 .513 .432 15.0 5.1 12.1 .291 .418 .351 49.6
2022 Changeup 1.2 1 115 5.1 29 .154 .385 .248 20.0 10.3 10.7 .235 .472 .327 45.8
2021 Slider -0.4 -3 818 34.8 212 .237 .349 .300 30.2 30.7 20.5 .248 .416 .326 50.0
2021 4-Seamer 2.6 18 698 29.7 181 .327 .513 .407 22.2 18.8 17.1 .304 .573 .423 37.8
2021 Sinker 1.0 7 684 29.1 189 .337 .509 .434 11.6 7.9 14.0 .329 .537 .400 48.1
2021 Changeup 2.8 4 148 6.3 30 .296 .556 .395 26.4 20.0 25.0 .299 .552 .394 33.3
2020 4-Seamer -0.5 -2 329 38.3 76 .179 .269 .257 11.1 14.5 9.5 .279 .460 .353 28.1
2020 Slider -3.1 -10 328 38.2 99 .187 .187 .215 27.5 22.2 17.1 .248 .336 .285 44.3
2020 Sinker -0.7 -1 184 21.4 39 .294 .353 .321 16.4 2.6 5.6 .321 .443 .365 47.1
2020 Changeup 1.7 0 17 2.0 1 .000 .000 .000 33.3 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2019 4-Seamer -0.1 -1 1,133 41.8 292 .260 .409 .349 18.1 17.1 15.4 .281 .481 .381 39.5
2019 Slider -1.5 -13 851 31.4 216 .194 .316 .246 29.3 28.7 20.1 .208 .332 .250 40.0
2019 Sinker 0.5 4 689 25.4 191 .292 .411 .359 11.5 5.2 10.6 .284 .418 .344 35.6
2019 Changeup 2.3 1 38 1.4 8 .250 .625 .363 12.5 0.0 0.0 .251 .513 .312 50.0
2018 4-Seamer -0.3 -3 994 44.5 267 .272 .366 .338 18.8 15.4 13.6 .260 .384 .333 31.9
2018 Slider 0.0 0 584 26.1 131 .221 .279 .244 36.1 31.3 19.0 .211 .304 .253 33.3
2018 Sinker -2.3 -13 569 25.5 171 .241 .309 .263 11.8 7.6 16.3 .252 .343 .284 29.5
2018 Changeup 2.6 2 85 3.8 12 .364 .727 .479 32.4 8.3 7.1 .325 .568 .411 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 10 88.3 78 10.8 1:00 2:00 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 248 92.8 65 12.7 12:15 11:30 45
2020 Sinker 163 92.3 73 12.8 12:30 1:45 -75
2020 Slider 264 84.6 45 9.9 8:30 7:30 60
2021 Changeup 148 90.0 83 15.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 680 94.1 69 13.5 12:15 11:45 30
2021 Sinker 668 93.7 76 14.2 12:30 1:45 -75
2021 Slider 805 86.1 42 8.7 8:45 7:45 60
2022 Changeup 101 89.9 69 13.3 12:45 1:45 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 795 94.5 64 12.8 12:15 11:30 45
2022 Sinker 515 93.4 72 12.9 12:30 2:00 -90
2022 Slider 809 86.9 39 7.4 9:00 8:00 60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 2,234 47.2 65.7 87.1 28.2 60.1 44.0 59.1 45.9 21.2 7.1 77.8
2019 2,711 47.1 66.7 87.5 27.6 61.5 41.1 57.4 46.0 19.7 8.0 77.1
2020 858 51.3 69.1 86.8 23.0 56.3 40.0 57.2 46.6 19.3 6.9 86.4
2021 2,348 47.8 66.9 85.1 24.6 56.8 41.1 59.5 44.8 22.2 7.0 77.0
2022 2,275 48.9 70.3 88.0 28.2 53.7 42.3 54.2 48.8 21.5 7.2 76.2
Player 10,426 48.0 67.6 86.9 26.8 58.1 41.9 57.5 46.4 20.9 7.3 77.7
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2018 57 39 73 88 41 39 83 56 79 12 40 25 52 69 47 39
2019 30 34 49 61 20 22 70 37 31 13 21 9 32 54 41 40
2020 43 22 51 74 31 46 89 33 37 11 56 8 14 48 56 18
2021 1 3 4 9 1 3 9 22 8 21 20 20 14 63 52 16
2022 28 24 32 43 24 21 62 28 21 10 27 18 35 59 70 20
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 20.5 7 11.0 -4 9 10 3 42.9
2019 23.1 15 18.2 -3 10 11 9 60.0
2020 26.7 2 3.3 -1 2 3 1 50.0
2021 22.7 18 23.3 -5 8 15 13 72.2
2022 24.0 17 18.9 -2 8 14 7 41.2
Player 23.1 59 74.6 -16 37 53 33 55.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 7 15 16 8 10 12 10 13 11 9 13 12 6 10 10 12 11 14 8 9 12 9 10 9 12 12 12 9 12 9 15
2019 15 24 16 19 16 19 17 19 19 18 22 19 15 12 15 19 14 23 15 17 22 16 15 18 19 20 20 16 20 18 23
2020 2 3 4 3 3 2 0 4 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 4 3 5 3 4 4 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 5 3 4
2021 18 22 31 16 25 28 24 26 23 19 25 26 15 18 18 27 27 21 22 21 29 23 23 21 21 27 26 20 22 22 31
2022 17 18 22 19 19 20 20 19 19 14 20 17 16 13 18 20 23 21 18 19 26 17 20 17 19 18 19 17 18 15 25
Player 59 82 89 65 73 81 71 81 76 65 82 76 54 55 63 82 78 84 66 70 93 68 71 69 74 80 81 65 77 67 98
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 93.3 -0.6 ↓ 92.7 -0.6 ↓ 93.9 1.2 ↑ 94.1 0.2 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 88.2 87.8 -0.4 ↓ 88.7 0.9 ↑ 90 1.3 ↑ 90 0
Breaking Velocity 85.6 84.9 -0.7 ↓ 84.6 -0.3 ↓ 86.1 1.5 ↑ 86.9 0.8 ↑
Exit Velocity 88.1 89.1 1 ↑ 89.2 0.1 ↑ 90 0.8 ↑ 89.3 -0.7 ↓
Launch Angle 7 9.1 2.1 ↑ 7.5 -1.6 ↓ 7.9 0.4 ↑ 6.7 -1.2 ↓
Barrel % 4.6 5.9 1.3 ↑ 3.7 -2.2 ↓ 10.9 7.2 ↑ 6.6 -4.3 ↓
Hard Hit % 31.6 38.6 7 ↑ 39.1 0.5 ↑ 45 5.9 ↑ 41.4 -3.6 ↓
Sweet Spot % 28 32.5 4.5 ↑ 32.9 0.4 ↑ 37 4.1 ↑ 28.7 -8.3 ↓
xBA .247 .257 0.01 ↑ .27 0.013 ↑ .292 0.022 ↑ .256 -0.036 ↓
BA .252 .247 -0.005 ↓ .202 -0.045 ↓ .297 0.095 ↑ .277 -0.02 ↓
xwOBA .301 .329 0.028 ↑ .323 -0.006 ↓ .38 0.057 ↑ .323 -0.057 ↓
wOBA .29 .307 0.017 ↑ .236 -0.071 ↓ .358 0.122 ↑ .337 -0.021 ↓
xSLG .357 .415 0.058 ↑ .397 -0.018 ↓ .505 0.108 ↑ .405 -0.1 ↓
SLG .335 .381 0.046 ↑ .244 -0.137 ↓ .457 0.213 ↑ .427 -0.03 ↓
K% 16.5 17.3 0.8 ↑ 16.3 -1 ↓ 19.6 3.3 ↑ 16.6 -3 ↓
BB% 8.4 9.6 1.2 ↑ 7.9 -1.7 ↓ 10.3 2.4 ↑ 9.1 -1.2 ↓
Swing % 45.9 46 0.1 ↑ 46.6 0.6 ↑ 44.8 -1.8 ↓ 48.8 4 ↑
Whiff% 21.2 19.7 -1.5 ↓ 19.3 -0.4 ↓ 22.2 2.9 ↑ 21.5 -0.7 ↓
In Zone % 47.2 47.1 -0.1 ↓ 51.3 4.2 ↑ 47.8 -3.5 ↓ 48.9 1.1 ↑
Out of Zone % 52.8 52.9 0.1 ↑ 48.7 -4.2 ↓ 52.2 3.5 ↑ 51.1 -1.1 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 28.2 27.6 -0.6 ↓ 23 -4.6 ↓ 24.6 1.6 ↑ 28.2 3.6 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 25.3 28.4 3.1 ↑ 25.1 -3.3 ↓ 29.6 4.5 ↑ 30.5 0.9 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 59.1 57.4 -1.7 ↓ 57.2 -0.2 ↓ 59.5 2.3 ↑ 54.2 -5.3 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 582 .290 311 41 13.2 271 106 39.1
2019 707 .307 345 53 15.4 362 110 30.4
2020 215 .236 80 42 52.5 135 95 70.4
2021 612 .358 297 45 15.2 315 118 37.5
2022 616 .337 332 42 12.7 284 134 47.2

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 698 14.4 57.4% 1.6% 374 22.2 0.5% 9.6%
2019 804 14.1 60.9% 0.5% 429 23.1 0.0% 11.7%
2020 279 14.4 59.1% 0.4% 128 22.8 0.0% 11.7%
2021 636 14.9 51.3% 0.6% 418 22.2 0.2% 7.9%
2022 643 15.4 44.5% 1.4% 356 22.2 0.3% 11.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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