Lucas Erceg
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 214LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 2, #46, Milwaukee Brewers | Menlo
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 4 4.75 50 0 0 55 68 1.58
2024 1 2 3.60 15 0 2 15 22 1.27
2 Seasons 5 6 4.50 65 0 2 70 90 1.51
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 50 4-4 4.75 55 68 1.58
2024 15 1-2 3.60 15 22 1.27
2 Seasons 65 5-6 4.50 70 90 1.51
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 28 1053 141 9 6.4 3.6 86.0 110.5 7.9 34.0 .208 .301 .328 .297 .323 33.3 27.1 14.3 4.75 3.69
2024 29 247 32 2 6.3 3.1 85.9 108.2 7.7 43.8 .209 .339 .312 .293 .392 34.4 34.4 12.5 3.60 3.33
Player 1300 173 11 6.4 3.5 86.0 110.5 7.9 35.8 .208 .309 .325 .296 .336 33.5 28.6 14.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Erceg relies on 4 pitches.
Changeup
(30.4%) ,
Four Seamer
(30.0%) ,
Sinker
(21.5%) ,
Slider
(18.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 44.0 24.1 25.5 6.4 41.1 33.3 25.5 5.7 39.0 22.0 23.4 3.5 6.4 3.6
2024 43.8 18.8 34.4 3.1 28.1 40.6 31.3 6.3 28.1 12.5 37.5 9.4 6.3 3.1
Player 43.9 23.1 27.2 5.8 38.7 34.7 26.6 5.8 37.0 20.2 26.0 4.6 6.4 3.5
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Sinker OAK R 53 98.7 17.9 -1.3 -7 16.5 1.3 9
2024 Changeup OAK R 75 91.4 26.2 -1.0 -4 19.0 3.3 21
2024 Slider OAK R 45 86.8 38.5 4.3 13 0.1 -4.6 -103
2024 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 74 98.5 12.3 -0.4 -4 10.1 2.4 32
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 299 98.0 13.9 -1.5 -12 9.0 1.3 18
2023 Changeup OAK R 233 90.3 26.5 -1.0 -4 16.9 2.0 14
2023 Slider OAK R 155 86.2 38.0 2.8 8 0.5 -4.1 -89
2023 Cutter OAK R 47 90.7 28.6 -3.9 -16 2.5 -0.1 -4
2023 Sinker OAK R 319 98.0 17.6 -0.7 -4 15.5 0.8 5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Changeup -4.6 -3 75 30.4 15 .500 1.000 .633 35.1 6.7 6.7 .474 .747 .530 46.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -1 74 30.0 21 .200 .400 .379 33.3 38.1 30.8 .134 .195 .299 28.6
2024 Sinker 5.1 3 53 21.5 13 .083 .083 .123 28.6 30.8 28.6 .128 .139 .162 0.0
2024 Slider 5.1 2 45 18.2 13 .000 .000 .000 40.0 69.2 37.5 .084 .249 .137 75.0
2023 Sinker 0.1 0 319 30.3 104 .280 .354 .369 28.9 15.4 25.4 .206 .266 .305 26.9
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 3 299 28.4 68 .190 .328 .290 19.3 32.4 17.5 .221 .389 .322 41.7
2023 Changeup 0.5 1 233 22.1 48 .190 .286 .285 38.4 39.6 22.9 .196 .230 .249 26.1
2023 Slider -0.2 0 155 14.7 24 .318 .500 .379 29.4 37.5 17.3 .210 .350 .275 61.5
2023 Cutter -5.4 -3 47 4.5 6 .500 .750 .592 40.0 33.3 10.0 .179 .212 .347 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 62 91.4 93 20.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 63 98.4 97 18.7 1:15 1:15 0
2024 Sinker 50 98.7 98 19.7 1:30 2:00 -30
2024 Slider 42 86.8 24 4.2 7:30 6:00 90
2023 Changeup 230 90.3 94 18.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Cutter 47 90.7 30 4.6 12:00 10:45 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 298 98.0 97 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 313 98.0 98 19.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Slider 154 86.2 23 3.6 8:15 6:30 105
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 250 1,053 5 12 -8 -7 2
2024 62 247 -1 4 0 -2 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,053 46.1 62.9 79.3 23.2 53.0 42.0 56.8 41.5 28.4 6.3 65.2
2024 247 44.5 54.5 66.7 31.4 65.1 47.8 53.2 41.7 34.0 5.7 57.1
Player 1,300 45.8 61.3 77.3 24.8 56.0 43.1 56.1 41.5 29.4 6.2 63.7
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 71 88 96 95 21 83 75 94 85 77 3 67 5 96 3 75
2024 67 81 76 63 41 72 61 89 72 95 16 94 77 99 11 68
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 28.6 1 3.1 -2 3 3 1 100.0
2024 21.6 1 1.0 0 1 1 0 0.0
Player 25.1 2 4.1 -2 4 4 1 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2023 1 1 3 4 3 5 4 2 3 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 1 4 5 4 3 5 4 2 1 4 5 4 2 2
2024 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Player 2 2 3 5 4 6 5 3 3 2 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 2 5 6 5 4 6 5 3 2 5 6 5 3 3
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.5 98.6 1.1
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 91.4 1.1
Breaking Velocity 86.2 86.8 0.6
Exit Velocity 86.0 85.9 -0.1
Launch Angle 7.9 7.7 -0.2
Barrel % 6.4 6.3 -0.1
Hard Hit % 33.3 34.4 1.1
Sweet Spot % 34.0 43.8 9.8
xBA .208 .209 0.001
BA .245 .204 -0.041
xwOBA .297 .293 -0.004
wOBA .328 .312 -0.016
xSLG .301 .339 0.038
SLG .356 .389 0.033
K% 27.1 34.4 7.3
BB% 14.3 12.5 -1.8
Swing % 41.5 41.7 0.2
Whiff% 28.4 34.0 5.6
In Zone % 46.1 44.5 -1.6
Out of Zone % 53.9 55.5 1.6
Out of Zone Swing % 23.2 31.4 8.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.4 24.2 -4.2
First Pitch Strike % 56.8 53.2 -3.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 250 .328 159 1 0.6 91 32 35.2
2024 Shades 62 .312 30 0 0.0 32 13 40.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 247 16.0 25.5% 0.4% 254 19.3 0.4% 0.0%
2024 69 15.5 34.8% 1.4% 32 18.9 0.0% 3.1%
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Pitch Distribution