Brandon Bielak
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 221LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 11, #331, Houston Astros | Notre Dame
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 0 3.65 5 0 0 12.1 12 1.22
2023 5 6 3.83 15 13 0 80 62 1.53
2024 0 0 5.85 11 0 0 20 10 1.70
5 Seasons 11 13 4.68 71 21 1 194.1 156 1.52
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 5 0-0 3.65 12.1 12 1.22
2023 15 5-6 3.83 80 62 1.53
2024 11 0-0 5.85 20 10 1.70
5 Seasons 71 11-13 4.68 194.1 156 1.52
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 24 597 103 9 8.7 6.1 87.7 110.4 14.1 35.9 .294 .540 .411 .397 .442 39.8 17.6 11.5 6.75 7.22
2021 25 835 148 7 4.7 3.2 87.2 117.4 10.4 33.8 .246 .369 .314 .309 .343 34.5 21.1 9.6 4.50 4.03
2022 26 226 35 4 11.4 7.4 88.7 111.0 10.9 14.3 .215 .392 .322 .319 .352 40.0 22.2 7.4 3.65 4.25
2023 27 1388 250 26 10.4 7.4 90.5 115.6 8.8 30.0 .270 .457 .357 .354 .385 48.4 17.6 10.2 3.83 5.44
2024 28 310 65 5 7.7 6.0 88.3 109.7 14.5 41.5 .302 .496 .380 .378 .385 36.9 10.8 8.4 5.71 5.86
Player 3356 601 51 8.5 6.0 88.9 117.4 10.8 32.3 .268 .449 .355 .350 .382 41.8 18.1 9.9
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Bielak relies on 5 pitches.
Changeup
(34.2%) ,
Sinker
(26.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(16.8%) ,
Curveball
(13.5%) ,
Slider
(9.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 36.9 28.2 28.2 6.8 35.0 38.8 26.2 4.9 30.1 20.4 22.3 12.6 8.7 6.1
2021 46.6 21.6 26.4 5.4 35.8 34.5 29.7 6.8 35.8 25.0 23.6 4.1 4.7 3.2
2022 51.4 37.1 5.7 5.7 37.1 34.3 28.6 5.7 34.3 25.7 20.0 2.9 11.4 7.4
2023 51.2 22.4 22.0 4.4 43.6 36.8 19.6 4.0 34.4 20.4 24.4 5.6 10.4 7.4
2024 36.9 24.6 32.3 6.2 44.6 33.8 21.5 3.1 32.3 26.2 24.6 6.2 7.7 6.0
Player 46.1 24.3 24.3 5.3 39.9 36.1 24.0 4.8 33.8 22.5 23.6 6.3 8.5 6.0
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Changeup HOU R 106 87.4 31.6 1.0 3 15.2 0.7 5
2024 Sinker HOU R 82 92.3 26.8 4.0 18 13.7 -1.0 -7
2024 Slider HOU R 28 83.2 45.4 6.4 16 12.4 7.7 168
2024 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 52 92.3 18.4 -3.3 -22 5.4 -1.4 -20
2024 Curveball HOU R 42 80.8 56.3 3.5 7 4.5 -1.5 -25
2023 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 425 92.1 18.7 -3.0 -19 3.9 -3.0 -44
2023 Curveball HOU R 155 79.5 58.9 6.0 11 5.8 1.3 30
2023 Sinker HOU R 299 92.1 25.3 3.5 16 13.5 -0.4 -3
2023 Changeup HOU R 345 87.1 31.0 0.9 3 15.0 0.6 4
2023 Slider HOU R 163 82.0 46.2 5.7 14 12.1 4.6 63
2022 Slider HOU R 32 82.8 41.7 1.9 5 11.6 5.4 86
2022 Changeup HOU R 28 87.3 28.8 -0.9 -3 16.2 2.2 16
2022 Sinker HOU R 55 93.2 21.9 0.4 2 16.2 1.7 12
2022 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 79 93.4 13.9 0.5 4 7.3 0.5 7
2022 Curveball HOU R 32 79.8 58.4 5.7 11 5.7 0.0 0
2021 Slider HOU R 141 83.0 40.0 1.5 4 9.8 4.2 73
2021 Sinker HOU R 132 93.2 20.6 -1.3 -6 13.5 -1.1 -7
2021 Changeup HOU R 96 88.2 27.6 -1.6 -6 16.5 2.0 14
2021 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 335 94.0 15.8 -1.0 -7 5.2 -1.7 -24
2021 Curveball HOU R 87 80.3 59.0 7.3 14 6.6 -0.1 -2
2021 Cutter HOU R 44 90.0 25.4 0.1 0 2.5 0.2 11
2020 Slider HOU R 67 83.4 38.5 0.8 2 8.2 3.4 71
2020 Cutter HOU R 80 88.9 27.5 -1.4 -5 3.8 1.7 77
2020 Changeup HOU R 104 86.4 30.1 0.0 0 16.2 2.5 18
2020 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 295 93.2 15.3 -0.2 -1 8.4 1.6 23
2020 Curveball HOU R 50 79.7 59.2 6.6 13 6.5 0.0 -1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Changeup 0.3 0 106 34.2 30 .310 .517 .365 21.8 16.7 16.7 .314 .448 .338 41.7
2024 Sinker -2.0 -2 82 26.5 25 .261 .435 .366 16.7 4.0 10.0 .257 .467 .338 31.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball -6.3 -3 52 16.8 18 .417 .500 .503 5.0 0.0 0.0 .398 .658 .532 50.0
2024 Curveball -0.9 0 42 13.5 6 .333 .833 .483 13.3 16.7 10.0 .365 .779 .481 20.0
2024 Slider 4.3 1 28 9.0 4 .000 .000 .000 37.5 50.0 40.0 .085 .102 .078 0.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.6 -7 425 30.6 118 .273 .505 .411 15.9 16.1 17.3 .263 .503 .381 55.0
2023 Changeup 1.0 3 345 24.9 95 .227 .352 .292 33.2 26.3 22.1 .265 .405 .318 41.3
2023 Sinker -0.9 -3 299 21.5 76 .338 .477 .430 13.5 3.9 8.1 .284 .390 .346 47.6
2023 Slider -2.1 -3 164 11.8 41 .333 .722 .463 35.5 22.0 18.0 .293 .680 .439 44.4
2023 Curveball -0.8 -1 155 11.2 23 .217 .217 .196 30.2 26.1 12.0 .245 .311 .241 52.9
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.2 1 79 35.0 20 .278 .500 .368 18.6 20.0 21.1 .238 .417 .325 50.0
2022 Sinker -3.0 -2 55 24.3 14 .364 .636 .486 19.0 14.3 18.2 .313 .590 .453 44.4
2022 Slider 1.6 1 32 14.2 5 .000 .000 .140 33.3 60.0 27.3 .043 .043 .173 0.0
2022 Curveball -0.7 0 32 14.2 8 .286 .286 .313 15.4 12.5 7.7 .149 .173 .214 16.7
2022 Changeup 6.4 2 28 12.4 7 .000 .000 .000 23.1 28.6 16.7 .168 .433 .256 40.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 335 40.1 78 .295 .393 .382 23.8 17.9 13.6 .260 .395 .353 50.0
2021 Slider -4.1 -6 141 16.9 36 .265 .676 .386 35.9 33.3 24.0 .212 .526 .313 30.4
2021 Sinker 0.6 1 132 15.8 41 .250 .306 .305 10.0 7.3 16.7 .304 .359 .324 23.5
2021 Changeup 3.9 4 96 11.5 27 .192 .231 .206 31.3 25.9 20.6 .248 .303 .258 15.8
2021 Curveball -0.1 0 87 10.4 24 .182 .227 .223 32.4 29.2 29.2 .151 .183 .193 46.7
2021 Cutter -2.8 -1 44 5.3 12 .300 .300 .342 22.2 25.0 27.3 .267 .297 .322 14.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -3 295 49.4 64 .327 .712 .480 15.4 7.8 7.8 .345 .634 .461 47.9
2020 Changeup 1.6 2 104 17.4 38 .125 .188 .224 43.9 28.9 24.4 .164 .218 .252 14.3
2020 Cutter -3.5 -3 80 13.4 18 .471 .824 .561 30.4 11.1 9.5 .382 .797 .505 40.0
2020 Slider 0.1 0 67 11.2 18 .333 .556 .403 35.9 22.2 14.8 .301 .541 .358 35.7
2020 Curveball -7.9 -4 50 8.4 10 .444 .778 .540 26.7 40.0 21.1 .276 .659 .416 80.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 95 87.5 82 16.5 1:45 2:45 -60
2024 Curveball 36 80.8 86 18.2 6:45 6:30 15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 47 92.3 74 14.6 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Sinker 73 92.3 70 15.3 1:15 2:30 -75
2024 Slider 28 83.2 36 15.2 7:15 8:00 -45
2023 Changeup 340 87.1 88 16.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Curveball 155 79.5 85 19.1 7:00 6:30 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 421 92.1 75 13.7 1:00 12:30 30
2023 Sinker 299 92.1 74 15.5 1:15 2:15 -60
2023 Slider 164 82.0 42 14.8 7:15 8:00 -45
2022 Changeup 28 87.3 92 18.1 1:45 2:15 -30
2022 Curveball 32 79.8 83 18.9 6:45 6:30 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 77 93.4 85 18.7 1:00 12:45 15
2022 Sinker 55 93.2 81 19.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2022 Slider 31 82.8 38 13.1 7:30 8:30 -60
2021 Changeup 95 88.2 92 18.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Curveball 87 80.3 84 20.4 7:00 6:45 15
2021 Cutter 44 90.0 46 7.9 12:15 11:15 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 335 94.0 81 15.6 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 132 93.2 76 17.4 1:00 1:45 -45
2021 Slider 141 83.0 35 11.1 7:45 8:45 -60
2020 Changeup 96 86.3 91 18.0 1:30 2:30 -60
2020 Curveball 47 79.7 87 19.9 6:45 6:45 0
2020 Cutter 75 88.8 33 7.4 12:00 10:45 75
2020 4-Seam Fastball 275 93.1 91 18.0 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Slider 66 83.4 32 9.5 8:00 9:00 -60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 148 596 -2 3 -5 -4 -8
2021 218 835 2 10 -9 -5 -2
2022 54 226 2 3 -1 -2 1
2023 353 1,388 9 0 -13 -7 -11
2024 83 310 -2 6 -5 -2 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 597 44.7 67.4 79.4 28.5 58.5 43.6 56.8 45.9 27.4 5.2 77.4
2021 835 48.9 68.6 83.9 26.2 50.0 42.5 52.3 46.9 25.3 8.7 76.7
2022 226 53.5 63.6 87.0 18.1 52.6 40.3 51.9 42.5 19.8 8.8 80.0
2023 1,388 45.6 66.7 84.1 26.8 59.9 40.6 51.3 45.0 23.7 6.8 73.7
2024 310 44.8 71.9 87.0 23.4 70.0 41.0 53.0 45.2 17.9 6.5 80.0
Player 3,356 46.7 67.5 83.8 26.1 57.8 41.6 52.7 45.5 24.0 7.1 76.2
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2020 3 6 5 7 4 28 29 61 31 14 22 54 58 48 66 34 4
2021 53 39 65 82 32 92 92 82 81 31 32 43 31 55 85 56 4
2022 40 77 2
2023 11 17 19 23 10 33 13 12 2 14 23 32 24 20 75 37 2
2024 7 5 10 18 9 45 43 60 62 1 50 7 13 23 67 2
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.4 9 7.8 1 4 4 4 44.4
2021 22.1 5 4.9 0 2 5 1 20.0
2022 24.5 2 2.1 0 0 2 1 50.0
2023 23.3 12 11.5 1 5 7 6 50.0
2024 22.0 3 3.2 0 1 1 2 66.7
Player 22.8 31 29.5 2 12 19 14 45.2

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 9 8 7 9 9 8 8 7 8 7 6 9 8 7 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 10 9 8 5 6 9 9 9 9 6
2021 5 7 3 6 5 5 6 6 1 3 4 7 5 4 5 7 5 5 5 6 4 4 8 5 4 3 6 5 4 5 4
2022 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 2 1 3 3 2 2
2023 12 9 10 11 14 12 12 9 12 11 11 12 12 11 12 12 13 11 11 13 10 13 15 14 8 10 12 13 11 12 10
2024 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3
Player 31 29 25 31 32 29 31 28 25 25 25 32 32 28 30 33 31 28 29 31 29 32 39 34 23 24 31 33 31 31 25
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.3 93.5 1.2 ↑ 93.3 -0.2 ↓ 92.1 -1.2 ↓ 92.3 0.2 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 88.2 1.8 ↑ 87.3 -0.9 ↓ 87.1 -0.2 ↓ 87.4 0.3 ↑
Breaking Velocity 81.8 81.9 0.1 ↑ 81.3 -0.6 ↓ 80.8 -0.5 ↓ 81.8 1.0 ↑
Exit Velocity 87.7 87.2 -0.5 ↓ 88.7 1.5 ↑ 90.5 1.8 ↑ 88.3 -2.2 ↓
Launch Angle 14.1 10.4 -3.7 ↓ 10.9 0.5 ↑ 8.8 -2.1 ↓ 14.5 5.7 ↑
Barrel % 8.7 4.7 -4.0 ↓ 11.4 6.7 ↑ 10.4 -1.0 ↓ 7.7 -2.7 ↓
Hard Hit % 39.8 34.5 -5.3 ↓ 40.0 5.5 ↑ 48.4 8.4 ↑ 36.9 -11.5 ↓
LA Sweet-Spot % 35.9 33.8 -2.1 ↓ 14.3 -19.5 ↓ 30.0 15.7 ↑ 41.5 11.5 ↑
xBA .294 .246 -0.048 ↓ .215 -0.031 ↓ .270 0.055 ↑ .302 0.032 ↑
BA .305 .254 -0.051 ↓ .234 -0.020 ↓ .277 0.043 ↑ .297 0.020 ↑
xwOBA .397 .309 -0.088 ↓ .319 0.010 ↑ .354 0.035 ↑ .378 0.024 ↑
wOBA .411 .314 -0.097 ↓ .322 0.008 ↑ .357 0.035 ↑ .380 0.023 ↑
xSLG .540 .369 -0.171 ↓ .392 0.023 ↑ .457 0.065 ↑ .496 0.039 ↑
SLG .578 .381 -0.197 ↓ .383 0.002 ↑ .460 0.077 ↑ .486 0.026 ↑
K% 17.6 21.1 3.5 ↑ 22.2 1.1 ↑ 17.6 -4.6 ↓ 10.8 -6.8 ↓
BB% 11.5 9.6 -1.9 ↓ 7.4 -2.2 ↓ 10.2 2.8 ↑ 8.4 -1.8 ↓
Swing % 45.9 46.9 1.0 ↑ 42.5 -4.4 ↓ 45.0 2.5 ↑ 45.2 0.2 ↑
Whiff% 27.4 25.3 -2.1 ↓ 19.8 -5.5 ↓ 23.7 3.9 ↑ 17.9 -5.8 ↓
In Zone % 44.7 48.9 4.2 ↑ 53.5 4.6 ↑ 45.6 -7.9 ↓ 44.8 -0.8 ↓
Out of Zone % 55.3 51.1 -4.2 ↓ 46.5 -4.6 ↓ 54.4 7.9 ↑ 55.2 0.8 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 28.5 26.2 -2.3 ↓ 18.1 -8.1 ↓ 26.8 8.7 ↑ 23.4 -3.4 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 27.0 24.8 -2.2 ↓ 14.8 -10.0 ↓ 25.5 10.7 ↑ 31.3 5.8 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 56.8 52.3 -4.5 ↓ 51.9 -0.4 ↓ 51.3 -0.6 ↓ 53.0 1.7 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 148 .411 67 15 22.4 81 57 70.4
2021 Shifts 218 .314 123 24 19.5 95 84 88.4
2022 Shifts 54 .322 31 10 32.3 23 21 91.3
2023 Shades 353 .357 197 7 3.6 156 84 53.8
2024 Shades 77 .377 39 6 15.4 38 18 47.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 170 16.6 25.3% 0.6% 94 22.1 0.0% 4.3%
2021 234 18.7 9.0% 2.6% 136 22.3 0.0% 6.6%
2022 65 16.5 24.6% 3.1% 47 20.2 0.0% 2.1%
2023 389 14.8 55.0% 0.0% 246 17.3 11.4% 0.0%
2024 75 14.5 53.3% 0.0% 65 17.1 13.8% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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