Shawn Dubin
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 164LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 13, #402, Houston Astros | Georgetown College
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 7.00 3 1 0 9 11 1.67
2024 0 1 7.59 8 0 0 10.2 11 1.88
2 Seasons 0 1 7.32 11 1 0 19.2 22 1.78
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 3 0-0 7.00 9 11 1.67
2024 8 0-1 7.59 10.2 11 1.88
2 Seasons 11 0-1 7.32 19.2 22 1.78
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 27 172 27 3 11.1 7.1 95.7 110.9 14.8 22.2 .286 .454 .380 .346 .433 59.3 26.2 7.1 7.00 5.16
2024 28 203 33 0 0.0 0.0 85.9 112.6 11.1 24.2 .218 .292 .368 .288 .298 36.4 21.6 13.7 7.59 3.22
Player 375 60 3 5.0 3.2 90.3 112.6 12.7 23.3 .249 .367 .374 .314 .359 46.7 23.7 10.8
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dubin relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(41.4%) ,
Cutter
(15.8%) ,
Changeup
(15.8%) ,
Curveball
(13.8%) ,
Sweeper
(13.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 44.4 33.3 22.2 0.0 33.3 40.7 25.9 0.0 22.2 25.9 37.0 3.7 11.1 7.1
2024 51.5 24.2 18.2 6.1 33.3 42.4 24.2 9.1 36.4 18.2 21.2 15.2 0.0 0.0
Player 48.3 28.3 20.0 3.3 33.3 41.7 25.0 5.0 30.0 21.7 28.3 10.0 5.0 3.2
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Changeup HOU R 32 88.1 35.3 5.0 16 14.6 -0.2 -2
2024 Sweeper HOU R 27 82.7 42.0 4.0 11 19.9 6.1 44
2024 Cutter HOU R 32 88.4 30.2 -2.9 -10 6.2 3.3 112
2024 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 84 94.8 13.5 0.9 6 9.3 1.8 23
2024 Curveball HOU R 28 81.4 58.1 7.2 14 11.4 2.0 21
2023 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 76 95.2 13.8 0.6 4 8.6 1.1 15
2023 Cutter HOU R 25 90.1 25.6 0.2 1 4.7 2.3 97
2023 Changeup HOU R 26 88.4 33.6 4.1 14 13.7 -0.9 -6
2023 Curveball HOU R 29 81.8 57.2 6.8 13 9.8 1.8 23
2023 Sweeper HOU R 16 84.5 36.7 -0.9 -2 13.3 0.1 1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -2.0 -2 84 41.4 21 .214 .357 .395 24.1 23.8 25.0 .255 .373 .414 33.3
2024 Cutter -8.7 -3 32 15.8 8 .571 .857 .538 23.5 0.0 0.0 .209 .288 .235 37.5
2024 Changeup 6.1 2 32 15.8 10 .200 .300 .215 36.8 20.0 25.0 .162 .209 .159 25.0
2024 Curveball 1.3 0 28 13.8 9 .333 .444 .339 53.3 33.3 30.0 .193 .238 .185 66.7
2024 Sweeper -1.1 0 27 13.3 3 .333 .333 .300 33.3 33.3 20.0 .322 .369 .302 0.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -2.0 -2 76 44.2 21 .375 .688 .476 21.6 9.5 9.5 .371 .695 .476 60.0
2023 Curveball -5.1 -1 29 16.9 4 .500 .750 .538 27.3 50.0 25.0 .332 .448 .336 100.0
2023 Changeup 0.1 0 26 15.1 8 .250 .250 .225 41.2 50.0 36.4 .281 .334 .267 100.0
2023 Cutter -1.7 0 25 14.5 5 .200 .400 .250 30.8 40.0 25.0 .028 .033 .029 0.0
2023 Sweeper 3.9 1 16 9.3 4 .250 .250 .225 22.2 25.0 50.0 .228 .261 .219 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 30 88.1 89 15.5 2:15 3:15 -60
2024 Curveball 28 81.4 90 22.8 7:00 7:00 0
2024 Cutter 32 88.4 34 7.6 11:00 10:00 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 84 94.8 92 19.2 1:15 1:00 15
2024 Sweeper 27 82.7 62 21.3 7:45 8:45 -60
2023 Changeup 26 88.4 88 14.4 2:00 3:00 -60
2023 Curveball 29 81.8 91 21.4 7:00 7:00 0
2023 Cutter 25 90.1 38 9.1 11:30 10:45 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 76 95.2 92 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sweeper 16 84.5 46 14.5 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 42 172 -1 0 -1 -1 -3
2024 51 203 -4 5 -3 -1 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 172 45.9 73.4 82.8 31.2 51.7 38.4 52.4 50.6 27.6 8.1 85.7
2024 203 47.3 66.7 78.1 23.4 40.0 42.9 43.1 43.8 32.6 8.9 66.7
Player 375 46.7 69.7 80.3 27.0 46.3 40.8 47.3 46.9 30.1 8.5 75.0
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 71 75 56
2024 72 77 90 95 43 97 97 89 62 46 11 89 13 65 73 45
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 20.1 1 1.0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Player 20.1 1 1.0 0 0 1 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2023 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
Player 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.0 93.1 -0.9
Offspeed Velocity 88.4 88.1 -0.3
Breaking Velocity 82.8 82.0 -0.8
Exit Velocity 95.7 85.9 -9.8
Launch Angle 14.8 11.1 -3.7
Barrel % 11.1 0.0 -11.1
Hard Hit % 59.3 36.4 -22.9
LA Sweet-Spot % 22.2 24.2 2.0
xBA .286 .218 -0.068
BA .324 .302 -0.022
xwOBA .346 .288 -0.058
wOBA .380 .368 -0.012
xSLG .454 .292 -0.162
SLG .514 .442 -0.072
K% 26.2 21.6 -4.6
BB% 7.1 13.7 6.6
Swing % 50.6 43.8 -6.8
Whiff% 27.6 32.6 5.0
In Zone % 45.9 47.3 1.4
Out of Zone % 54.1 52.7 -1.4
Out of Zone Swing % 31.2 23.4 -7.8
First Pitch Swing % 31.0 23.5 -7.5
First Pitch Strike % 52.4 43.1 -9.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 42 .380 17 0 0.0 25 13 52.0
2024 Shades 48 .391 20 5 25.0 28 10 35.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 38 17.2 13.2% 0.0% 28 21.6 0.0% 0.0%
2024 41 16.7 14.6% 0.0% 53 20.5 0.0% 1.9%
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Pitch Distribution